Bad science at Bad Science

There have been 15 major reorganisations of the NHS in 30 years.

OK, to what effect?

but the trajectory of improvement in the UK is so phenomenal that if the straight line continues – as it has done for 30 years – we will be better than France by 2012.

So reorganisations reduce deaths from heart attacks then?

8 comments on “Bad science at Bad Science

  1. Economic growth was higher during the post-war, extensive welfare state, highly union period up to the 1970s than it has been since.

    Therefore economic growth is caused by an extensive welfare state and high unionisation.

    Tim adds: Given that the Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman regularly advances this point perhaps: although I prefer Tyler Cowen’s point that it was all catch up.

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  3. You’re conflating effect with cause. An error Ben has mentioned numerous times.

    “Wind is caused by the trees fluttering their leaves” has as much credance as your arguement.

  4. PJH – “You’re conflating effect with cause. An error Ben has mentioned numerous times. “Wind is caused by the trees fluttering their leaves” has as much credance as your arguement.”

    I don’t think he is, but if he is, he is conflating the only cause mentioned so far with the effect. If you think he is wrong I think you need to suggest a more plausible cause.

    I also doubt the figures. How can we go from having twice the deaths of France to fewer than them in just one year? That is one hell of a steep straight line.

  5. How can we go from having twice the deaths of France to fewer than them in just one year?

    We can’t,and nobody’s saying we can.

    We had twice the deaths of France *in 2006*. If the 1979-2007 trend continues, then we’ll have fewer deaths than them in 2012. That’s six years later.

  6. Surely a reorganisation that encourages preventative medicine or improves emergency response times would have the effect of reducing deaths from heart attacks.

    What’s you point?

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