Nuclear Iran

Guido Westerwelle, the German foreign minister, said that he was “very concerned about the latest report from the IAEA”, adding: “We think Iran should understand the key to ending sanctions is in their own hands: they have a duty to co-operate with the international community.”

Well, yes, quite.

You see, the thing is, they\’ve signed a treaty promising not to develop nuclear weapons. And part of that treaty is that they must cooperate.

They can withdraw from the treaty if they\’d like to……

6 comments on “Nuclear Iran

  1. They can withdraw from the treaty if they’d like to……

    Theoretically. At least I would hope that if they withdrew they would face a massive response which would make them think twice. I could be wrong, but given their missiles can reach the Euroweenies I am not sure those Euroweenies would do nothing in response.

  2. but given their missiles can reach the Euroweenies

    Sajjil 2 is reported to have a range of about 2200km at the moment. That’s not going to reach far in to Europe. Cyprus easily, some bits of Greece.

  3. Surreptitious Evil – “Sajjil 2 is reported to have a range of about 2200km at the moment. That’s not going to reach far in to Europe. Cyprus easily, some bits of Greece.”

    Athens. Southern Italy. Moscow.

  4. Athens: we’ll miss the Parthenon. I’ll give you “most of Greece”.

    Southern Italy: Brindisi to Tabriz is over 2400km?

    Moscow: I know it is west of the Urals but why’s that a Euroweenie problem?

  5. Surreptitious Evil – “Southern Italy: Brindisi to Tabriz is over 2400km?”

    According to Jane’s. Or at least according to CNN quoting Jane’s.

    http://edition.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/meast/05/20/iran.missile.test/

    “Moscow: I know it is west of the Urals but why’s that a Euroweenie problem?”

    Well I won’t say because it is the true homeland of most Euroweenie leaders. Although they often give that impression. But it does show what sort of range they have.

    Also of course, if you can send a rocket 2000 kilometres, the rest is detail. They have done the hard bit. It is more or less a brute force approach. If they want to hit London it is only a matter of time and resources.

  6. According to Jane’s. Or at least according to CNN quoting Jane’s.

    Hmm. I used great circle distances. And allowed the slightly greater reported range for the Sajjil 2. Still …

    Also of course, if you can send a rocket 2000 kilometres, the rest is detail. They have done the hard bit.

    Actually not true. They have two hard further bits to do. One is get a working 3-stage rocket. This is an order more complex than the two stage rockets they have been using up to now (and the Shahab 3 was just a Korean ‘No Dong’ rocket – and, yes, I can here you sniggering!)

    The other is to get a working warhead, of the sort we would be much concerned about hitting London, within the limited launch capacity of the Sajjil.

    Of course, if they have managed to acquire ex-Soviet R-14 (SS-5) rockets or designs then that is a different kettle of fish (range is at least 3700km.) But they still need to build their warheads.

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