My word, really?

Spudda tells us it’s all done!

A short introduction to a historic report, published 12th April 2019 by LUT University and Energy Watch, that models the global energy system on an hourly basis using the real economics of existing renewable energy technologies. A unique first, and essential ammunition for all worried about climate change.

We’re saved? We can power the world on 100% renewables!

Except, well, page 18 of the main report.

Energy Storage
Storage technologies play a vital role in enabling
the transition towards a fully renewable energy
system across all sectors. As shown in Figure 3.1-4,
a significant share of electricity demand is covered
by storage that increases through the transition
period up to nearly 5000 TWhel by 2030 and further
significantly increases to over 30,000 TWhel by
2050. As the shares of solar PV and wind energy
increase significantly beyond 2030, the role of
storage is crucial in providing uninterrupted energy
supply. The ratio of electricity demand covered by
energy storage to electricity generation increases
significantly to around 18% by 2035 and further on
to about 23% by 2050, as shown in Figure 3.1-4.
Electricity storage technologies cover most of the
storage requirements from the electricity sector,
complemented with some shares of electricity
derived from stored heat. This cross-sectoral
storage is enabled through an integrated power
and heat sector

OK, super. So energy storage will become effective and economic.

So, which technologies? Umm, what’s that? They will? You are assuming that are you? Ah, you are.

So, OK, sure we can power the world on renewables if we only had an economic method of electricity storage. But assuming that we do doesn’t prove that we can now, does it?

This also amuses:

A global transition to 100% renewable energy across all sectors – power, heat, transport and
desalination before 2050 is feasible1. Existing renewable energy potential and technologies, including
storage, is capable of generating a secure energy supply at every hour throughout the year. The
sustainable energy system is more efficient and cost effective than the existing system,

Great, so we don’t need to do anything about it, do we? Private lust for profit will get us to this more efficient and economic system on its own.

Good, glad we’ve got that settled.

20 comments on “My word, really?

  1. From Wiki

    “Since 2014 LUT University has been ranked among the world’s top 600 universities (Times Higher Education and QS rankings)”

    Top 600. So crap then.

  2. Storage is totally inadequate in every way you can imagine.
    The options are (worse than) useless in terms of capacity for the network.
    Improvements in current technology (storage and renewable generation) are now merely incremental and there is no new ground-breaking technology round the corner.

    Not going anywhere.

    Got to generate. Rhoda’s right!

    All the rest is just a wan*fest for immature greenies.

  3. 1 TWh is already small-country-scale storage.
    5000 is like… a lot.

    Just look at the price for a Tesla Powerwall. We’re not in the realm of halving of prices or stuff like this. It’s orders of magnitude.

    If these fools continue we’ll die of cold before we get a chance to die of warm.

  4. @TimW,

    Did you figure out your Rolling Stone journalist? I’ve just been listening to a Joe Rogan podcast about Hunter S Thompson and it sounded like he could fit the bill.

  5. Nature (fvcking Nature!) had a paper the other day claiming that electrically powered airliners would be flying us around the world ‘real soon now’. We just need to assume an exponential (in the technical sense, i.e. compound interest) increase in storage density (and disregard many of the known laws of physics and chemistry).

  6. ‘the role of storage is crucial in providing uninterrupted energy’

    Head fake. Storage can’t fix intermittency. Period.

    ‘the role of storage is crucial in providing uninterrupted energy’

    So y’all going to get a battery that will store 50 years of electricity. How you gonna charge it?

    ‘The ratio of electricity demand covered by
    energy storage to electricity generation increases significantly to around 18% by 2035 and further on to about 23% by 2050’

    But it has to be 100% (!!!) when you fvcking need it! The percentages are meaningless. IF they relate storage capacity to generation capacity, they represent maybe an hour of backup. So people die an hour later. Whoopee!

    ‘Existing renewable energy potential and technologies, including storage, is capable of generating a secure energy supply at every hour throughout the year.’

    But what about next week? Can you guarantee next week? Hell, no, not even with your ‘storage.’

    ‘Existing renewable energy potential . . . is capable of generating’

    Wut? Potential can generate?

    ‘Storage’ is a Greenie trick to get people to think that intermittency is solvable. It’s not.

  7. ‘that models the global energy system on an hourly basis using the real economics of existing renewable energy technologies.’

    There is no ‘global energy system.’

    I’m glad they use REAL economics. None of that fake economics crap you see at timworstall.com.

  8. The ratio of electricity demand covered by energy storage to electricity generation increases significantly to around 18% by 2035 and further on to about 23% by 2050

    23% of consumption supplied by storage is at least an order of magnitude too low given UK in winter can have several consecutive days of zero wind power plus solar, even if supplying 100% of demand, is <= 6 hours pd

  9. Nature (fvcking Nature!) had a paper the other day claiming that electrically powered airliners would be flying us around the world ‘real soon now’.

    The only reason these aeroplanes aren’t flying now is because oil companies bought out the research years ago and then killed everyone who knew about it. If you disagree, prove it. BTW vote Labour.

  10. The greenfreakshow is a fuckwit circus.

    But its real purpose is to serve as the excuse to progressively impoverish all the ordinary folk. So we have no resources or time to spare from a struggle to get by to resist the Globo Elite shite.

  11. We could supply all the world’s electricity demand by covering an area the size of Austria in the Sahara desert with solar panels, except for …. all the issues too numerous to list.

  12. Yes, Rob, the ‘lectric airplane plans are in the Chairman of Exxon’s closet, right next to the 100 mpg carburetor.

  13. Whilst the magic renewable stuff is filling the magic batteries for future use when wind doth not blow and Sun is behind clouds or other side of the Planet, where do we get the electricity for now?

    Currently electricity is stored (pumped storage) at off-peak times, and this can be planned if generators are fossil fuel. Wind cannot be planned and since off-peak is usually night time, no solar.

    But let’s not let reality and practical matters intrude.

  14. @John B
    Dinorwig is great technology, but it’s piffling in comparison to total usage. It’s rated at 1.8GW for up to 6 hrs – compare that to a typical UK daytime load of 37GW. You’d need many hundreds of such stations to cover for a few cold, still days in February if we were dependant on ‘renewables’. And, of course, electricity only accounts for a fraction of total energy usage.

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