OK, so, first we assume the can opener:
There is huge potential to decrease energy
demand without decreasing the services that
are provided. In zerocarbonbritain2030, energy
demand is decreased by over 50%.
It\’s the only way to make the numbers work of course. In decreasing demand from housing:
Decrease area requiring heat,
Quite how making us all live in rabbit hutches is not decreasing the services are provided isn\’t said.
Decrease the thermostat/air temperature
Similarly, reducing the temperature at which we live not being reducing the services offered by heating the places in which we live isn\’t discussed.
On cars and transport:
Improvements in battery technology are
expected in the future, and concerns about
supply limits on raw materials are unfounded.
Isn\’t that delightful? They\’re entirely willing to use the \”technology will save us\” argument when it suits them: plus wave away any problems over resource availability. If you\’ll allowe me those two let outs I can prove (as Julian Simon did) that we can have an ever rising number of people living ever richer lives for the next 7 billion years.
We use some lignocellulosic
biofuels in the zerocarbonbritain2030 scenario
to power the sectors for which there is
currently no alternative to liquid hydrocarbon
fuels: aviation, shipping, some heavy goods
vehicles and some farm machinery. 1.67
million hectares of land in Great Britain is
devoted to producing the feedstock. We
assume a corresponding reduction in meat
consumption, so that there will be no net
increase in land use.
That\’s, what, 7, 8 % of total land area? Around and about the total land area currently devoted to buildings actually. Most green, don\’t you think?
In the zerocarbonbritain2030 scenario an
absolute reduction in transit is required.
Passenger kilometres travelled domestically
decrease by 20%, spread evenly across all
modes. Domestic aviation is eliminated and
international aviation decreases by two thirds
due to limits on biofuel supply. Some shorthaul
flights can be replaced with trains and
ships but an absolute reduction in transit is
also likely to be required.
Umm, this is a decrease in services provided, isn\’t it?
In the zerocarbonbritain2030 scenario
abundant food for the population is produced
but livestock products are reduced to 20-30%
of their present quantity. Cow and sheep
stocks in particular are much reduced.The
levels of egg, poultry and pig-meat production
are only a little lower than today…
We\’re not going to reduce the services on offer but at least 80% cuts in cows and sheep. Beef, mutton, wool, lamb and leather are more of those services we\’ll not be cutting then, eh?
Plus, of course, we\’ve just fucked organic farming right over as there\’s no shit to keep it going.
Good one really.
Something like 60% of electricity comes from wind. Umm, haven\’t they realised that the wind doesn\’t blow all the time? No, not even over an area as large as gthe UK and offshore areas?
Ooooh, this is a good one! Cement production is going to decline to 10% of current levels. Yes, this is to be done at the same time as we need lots and lots and lots of cement to anchor all those windmills. Good one that….
So, just to sum up: we\’re all to live in colder, smaller, houses, eat no meat and travel less. But there will be no reduction in the services on offer. And to get from here to there we\’re assuming both technology as yet undeveloped and no shortage of resources.
As I said earlier, the New Economics Foundation is involved so of course it was bound to be bollocks.