Much excitment from the likes of @richardjmurphy about there only being 454 affordable housing starts in the first 6 months of this year.
He tells me he\’s right, the Minister has said so!
Well, no, actually the Minister didn\’t say that.
Here\’s the announcement.
• There were 1,746 housing starts on site and 15,329 housing completions in England in the six months to 30 September 2011. Starts on site were delivered under the National Affordable Housing Programme, the Kickstart Housing Delivery Programme and the Property and Regeneration Programme and completions were delivered under these programmes in addition to the Local Authority New Build Programme and FirstBuy.
• 454 of the housing starts on site were for affordable homes of which 259 were for social rent and 195 for low cost home ownership. Some 70 per cent of these starts on site were in the HCA’s Midlands operating area1. Starts related to new delivery through the 2011-15 Affordable Homes Programme will commence from the second half of 2011/12.
No, that is not saying that there were only 454 affordable housing starts in that 6 month period. That is saying that under the NAHP, KHDP, PRP etc, there were 454 affordable housing starts.
How many actual affordable housing starts were there? That would be in the UK housing figures over here. \”Affordable\” is usually taken to mean social landlords and local authorities.
There were 9760 affordable housing starts in England alone (on a not-seasonally adjusted basis).
The Minister is saying that central government plans delivered 454 affordable housing starts. Devolved, local and semi-private sector provided some 20 times that number. Something which, given that the provision of affordable housing is largely a devolved, local and semi-private sector activity, not a central government one, shouldn\’t be all that much of a surprise.
Do note this from the Minister\’s press release as well:
The figures in this release show the supply of affordable homes delivered under the National Affordable Housing Programme, the Local Authority New Build Programme, FirstBuy, the Kickstart Housing Delivery Programme and the Property and Regeneration Programme together with market homes delivered under the Kickstart Housing Delivery Programme and the Property and Regeneration Programme.
Yup, this is the number of affordable housing starts under certain specific schemes. It is not the total number of affordable housing starts.
The figures exclude any housing outputs which may be attributable to the programmes inherited from the Department for Communities and Local Government.
Yup, it really is the number of affordable housing starts under certain specific schemes, not the total number of affordable housing starts. Note that local authorities alone started 790 houses in these six months. Note that 790 is larger than 454.
Do not let them get away with turning this 454 bollocks into a number everyone believes.