This is all going on in a particularly critical area at an acutely sensitive time. Ensuring the country has enough energy is one of the most important, if unspectacular, tasks of government. And ministers face what Mr Davey calls “the biggest overhaul of our energy infrastructure for decades”, as a fifth of power stations come offline over the next 10 years. A decision on how to replace them has been repeatedly put off, and has now been delayed again following this week’s events.
If the entire conversation has been dominated by those who say we cannot have nuclear because, well, radiation, we cannot have shale because, well, yuck, in fact, we cannot have any of the things that actually work and are only allowed to install those that don\’t then yes, this is what will happen. The lights will go out.
And don\’t take it to be just a party political thing. We\’ve got the lies coming from the scientists too. No, I don\’t mean about climate change: I mean the scientists calculating how we\’re going to produce our energy.
The one that had me gasping in its audacity was the report from the Chief Scientist (I think that\’s right) which modelled two different possible outcomes.
1) Standard assumptions about future energy usage supplied by fossil fuels.
2) Half standard assumptions about future energy usage supplied by renewables.
Unsurprisingly, making half the energy was cheaper than making all of it. This was hailed as a great triumph for renewables. The actual method used in the calculations was to point out that renewables are so damn expensive that we\’d all use less energy. That is, we\’d all be driven into poverty: this is not what most of us would call a triumph.
A real scientist would present four cases, not two. Standard energy with fossils or renewables, half standard with fossil or renewables. They didn\’t: they were lying as a result.
And that\’s why we\’re in danger of having the lights go out. Not because the present government isn\’t making easy with hte subsidies: but because everyone else, yourself included Mr. Lean, has been lying through their teeth about how we solve this little problem.