While I’d love to see this happen I’ll not be putting any money on it happening just yet:
Nationwide support for Nigel Farage’s Ukip has soared to an all-time high 25 per cent – enough for the party to take Parliament by storm with well over 100 MPs and a possible Labour Election victory.
That is the shock result of a Survation poll for The Mail on Sunday, carried out after Ukip rocked the Tories and Labour in two by-elections last week.
The basic facts of UKIP’s polling support are as follows: a surge just before and during each euro-election campaign with a falling back afterwards. But each fall back has been to a higher level. Current support is below that of the last euros for example, but very much higher than at the last GE. The big question is going to be how much of this level of support actually lasts through to the GE. Rather depends upon events old boy, events.
But it would astonish me if it fell back below 10%, still surprise below 15%. And 25% or above would also astonish.
Fun times, eh?