Climate change could kill more than 500,000 people a year globally by 2050 by making their diets less healthy, according to new research published in the Lancet.
The research is the first to assess how the impacts of global warming could affect the quality of the diets available to people and found fewer fruit and vegetables would be available as a result of climatic changes. These are vital in curbing heart disease, strokes and diet-related cancers, leading the study to conclude that the health risks of climate change are far greater than thought.
Climate change is already judged by doctors as the greatest threat to health in the 21st century, due to floods, droughts and increased infectious diseases, with the potential to roll back 50 years of progress.
Peter Scarborough, at the University of Oxford and part of the new research, said these direct impacts would affect tens of thousands of people at particular times: “But everyone in the world eats, so small changes in diet can quickly add up” to hundreds of thousands of deaths.
In line with previous estimates,6, 15 the agriculture-economic model projects that climate change will lead to reduced food availability, which mitigates the increases in food availability that are projected to occur between 2010 and 2050.
They are not measuring the effect of climate change. They are adding the effect of economic growth that occurs over this time period. Then taking off the effect of climate change from that additional economic growth. But, of course, it is the economic growth which causes the climate change. Thus what we actually want to know is what is the nett effect of the two, the economic growth and the climate change associated with it?
The answer is positive for food availability. For all world regions. The nett effect is thus fewer deaths.
Absolutely fucking atrocious economics here.