Hell, I’d vote for this if I could

It’s 2026. Ten years have passed since the British voted to pull out of the European Union. In London, the Ukip prime minister has organised ceremonies to mark the anniversary of the “sovereignty referendum”. What does the world look like? How have Britain and Europe fared?

The EU has unravelled. Most of Europe is now part of China’s One Belt New Silk Road, which includes infrastructure projects across Eurasia. But that doesn’t mean Europe is stable. It has become a space of geopolitical rivalries. Russia has entrenched its influence in many countries and is secretly worried about China’s growing clout. Greece has joined Russia’s recently launched Orthodox Union, a project described as a “cultural and spiritual civilisation” – as has Bulgaria.

French president Marine Le Pen is preparing to run for re-election. She came to power in 2022 on an anti-globalisation and anti-immigration platform. She rapidly organised a “Frexit” referendum, which put an immediate end to the European project, launched in 1957. Without France, there simply could not be a union of any sort. Le Pen had the slogan: “If the British can do it, so can we”.

After France’s departure, the remaining members convened a Brussels summit to rescind EU treaties and sign a “peace and fraternity agreement”, but no one was certain what that meant, or how it would be enforced. On television Jean-Claude Juncker, a former president of the commission, burst into tears.

Making Juncker cry would be worth pretty much anything, no?

15 thoughts on “Hell, I’d vote for this if I could”

  1. So Much For Subtlety

    Making him cry would be worth a great deal.

    But even if it didn’t what is the downside to this? Russia wants to form a union with the feckless fellow Orthodox countries? Great! Take Romania and Cyprus with them. All it will do is provoke a German response. We can live with that.

    Le Pen in power in France is the only way for Europe to have a future.

  2. Does this Russian thing make any sense to anyone? I’ve never quite understood the Warsaw Pact, but it always seemed to me that the effect of WW2 on Russia left some really deep scars, and they were going to make sure it didn’t happen again. And it all collapsed in part because 40 years later, you had a different population.

    The Greece/Russia thing is just nonsense. No-one cares about sky fairies like they once did.

    As for the rest, well, what’s the problem? It’s not suggesting that we’re going to be poorer, is it?

  3. “Most of Europe is now part of China’s One Belt New Silk Road”

    The “One belt, one road” initiative is a load of old bollocks. Most of the countries on it have no agreements with China or have even consented to being on it. The infrastructure of roads and rail needs to cross the dodgiest of the ‘stans if it ever happens at all – good luck to anyone investing in there. Here in Hong Kong, not on the sea or land routes, the Beijing shoe shiners in the government go on about it endlessly hoping to route the finance through, without anyone really explaining what the thing really is.

  4. This article should be publicised far and wide.
    The fundamental premise is that were the EU to fail then democratic votes would produce all sorts of horribleness.

    It encapsulates perfectly the cognoscenti’s view of the EU – that it is their greatest defence against democracy.

  5. > No-one cares about sky fairies like they once did

    Don’t be too sure of that. It’s working pretty well for Putin ATM.

  6. So Much For Subtlety

    The Stigler – “The Greece/Russia thing is just nonsense. No-one cares about sky fairies like they once did.”

    That is to miss the point. It is not about belief. It is about hatred. Who do we hate? Which hatreds are absorbed with our mother’s milk? This is the Clash of Civilisation argument. The world is divided into different cultural spheres. Those cultural differences are important and have not gone away.

    So the Prime Minister of Greece is a Communist. He doesn’t believe in God. But presumably all Greeks learn as children that the evil Western Christians destroyed Constantinople – and that the Russians are friends who protect their fellow Orthodox. So even if a Greek doesn’t believe, he is immediately more open to the idea that evil Western *capitalists* destroyed the Greek economy and that the Soviets are friends who protect their fellow workers. The names change but the hate remains.

    In the same way Yasir Arafat could start out in the Muslim Brotherhood before moving into Nasser’s Arab Nationalism and then to the Soviet bloc. It looks like his politics have changed, and they did, but his hatred remained constant.

    The Greeks will inevitably give the Russians the benefit of the doubt. But not the Germans. The Muslims of France, or of Bradford, will continue to hate the rest of us – even if they stop believing. As in fact many Jews do.

    There is nothing much we can do to change this. Culture is hard to shift.

  7. Bloke Not in North Dorset (in Falmouth marina)

    Thanks, BraveFart.

    There I was sat in the cockpit (of the boat) enjoying a cup of coffee on this pleasant sunny morning and now I I’ll have to and find some mind bleach.

  8. 90% of the comments on the article are ridiculing it. Is this a sign of some grand Awakening of the Guardian faithful?

  9. If they are so worried about EU unraveling of Britian leaves then it can’t be that strong a union in the first place, so if it’s a weak Union what’s the point of staying

  10. “European states no longer cared as much for US security guarantees: first, because they’d lost faith in them (after America made plain it was tired of “free-riding pseudo-allies”)”

    Oh right. So, when you’ve quite finished spouting your “The EU has guaranteed peace in Europe” bollocks for the referendum, when it comes to looking for someone, some organisation actually to guarantee peace and protect us from aggression, it is in fact to NATO and America we turn.

  11. NATO had three purposes. To keep

    The Americans in
    The Russians out
    And the Germans down

    Unfortunately time is up on that strategy. Get out while you can Britons.

  12. Short Term
    Economic collapse, run on the pound the British economy hits the buffers as the banking and financial sectors are ripped to shreds.
    The Right wing take over the UK and decide the look for scapegoat, many are targeted Jews, Gays, Gypsies, muslims and all immigrants. The collapse of house prices and the financial sector is blamed on the weak and vulnerable and Britain quickly becomes a fascist state.

    Long Term
    Europe breaks up, in geopolitical instability, and becomes a playground for the proxy wars, imposed dictators, civil wars and a land of human rights abuses, by leaders imposed on it by China, Russia, India and the USA.
    I love the USA but it will not be able to stop danger happening to a divided Europe.

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