An insurgent Corbyn will demolish media claims that the election is a done deal
Matt Zarb-Cousin
I give it not a high probability let us say.
But unlike the prime minister, who appears to be pioneering a campaign method of saying as little as possible to as few people as possible, Jeremy Corbyn will speak to the country at every opportunity. The referendum campaign showed how engaged people are in politics when they are presented with a clear choice and an imminent decision. Polling shows that Labour’s policies are popular, and with a more engaged electorate as we near 8 June, those policies will cut through and boost Labour’s support as the campaign progresses.
Jeremy Corbyn will today pitch himself as an insurgent candidate, giving him the space to frame a hostile media as being a part of the establishment, desperate to maintain the status quo – a status quo that isn’t working for most people, that Brexit proved people are fed up with, and that Labour would overturn. So don’t let the establishment tell you this election is a foregone conclusion, there is a long way to go until polling day.
Zarb-Cousin
Not one of the pseudonyms on Ritchie’s bloog, is (s)he?
Is that going to help or hurt Labour’s vote? I wonder how much better off they’d be if he took a holiday to Venezuela until after the election.
They’d probably be a hell of a lot better off if he took a permanent holiday to Venezuela.
> to frame a hostile media as being a part of the establishment, desperate to maintain the status quo
To be fair, that strategy worked for Trump. He still rants about the fake media at least once a week.
> Polling shows that Labour’s policies are popular
Ed Milliband’s policies were popular too, but that didn’t stop him from suffering a horrible defeat. Nobody wins elections on policy alone. Do these people never learn?
Of course an individual policy that says “we’ll spend money on this. We’ll spend money on that. We’ll stop them raising this price.” Is popular. Keep making spending g promises though and people ask “Er, who pays for it and when?”.
So the left turns round after the election and asks itself how or could possibly have lost with such popular policies.
The writer’s name sounds like something out of Dan Dare and the Mekon.
Andrew M and Ironman
Yep – leadership ratings are a big deal
http://uk.businessinsider.com/jeremy-corbyn-labour-party-polls-leadership-election-2016-8o
Currently Corbyn is on -41.
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/88/Political-Monitor-Satisfaction-Ratings-1997Present.aspx
The problem is that Corbyn IS the status quo, but from the mid-1970s. Massive job creation schemes, rent controls, moar unions, more stalinist healthcare, free education for all, public ownership, more taxes. Other than that, it’s hippy dippy stuff about the environment and the UN.
Corbyn talks about not playing by the rules in camaigning. I’m waiting for him to give us a masterclass in how not to do it.
“there is a long way to go until polling day”: true.
“don’t let the establishment tell you this election is a foregone conclusion”: I won’t.
“Jeremy Corbyn will today pitch himself as an insurgent candidate”: yeah, yeah, Comrade Corbyn’s Red and Red Army.
This is good stuff:
Jeremy Corbyn will today pitch himself as an insurgent candidate, giving him the space to frame a hostile media as being a part of the establishment, desperate to maintain the status quo – a status quo that isn’t working for most people, that Brexit proved people are fed up with, and that Labour would overturn. So don’t let the establishment tell you this election is a foregone conclusion, there is a long way to go until polling day.
So, the Trump/Brexit/Le Pen punk rock iconoclastic populist approach. Not a terrible idea.
Problem is, what Jezza’s selling isn’t all that popular.
And he looks like Albert Steptoe got into the transporter machine from The Fly with Wurzel Gummidge.
@Dearieme
‘“there is a long way to go until polling day”: true.’
Except, there’s not. He’s got to turn around 30 years of idiocy in six weeks.
Corbyn looks like he smells faintly of piss. Labour boosters are once again failing to take this into consideration. An interesting psephological titbit: in almost every election since the Great Reform Act, the party whose leader looks the less like they reek of wee has topped the poll.
Ps Zarb-Cousin was sacked by labour (where he was a spokesperson for calling the queen a scrounger, and he’s blown 20k on slot machines ‘I was an addict!’, and I dimly recall he was caught up in the anti Semitism thing too.
He’s a Corbynite, natch
Jeremy Corbyn will today pitch himself as an insurgent candidate
Probably not the best choice of phrase, as ‘insurgent’ is the word the Leftist media use as code for Islamic terrorists, to avoid “being judgemental”.
The Trump approach, only Trump was a genuine outsider. He had a name and a gob and that was it.
Corbyn’s been suckling at the public meet for over 30 years, he’s about as outside the system as his buddy Benn was.
Listening to Jeremy get angry on the radio today was just sadly pathetic.
BiCR – Corbyn looks like he smells faintly of piss. Labour boosters are once again failing to take this into consideration. An interesting psephological titbit: in almost every election since the Great Reform Act, the party whose leader looks the less like they reek of wee has topped the poll.
You magnificent bastard.
Magnus – Listening to Jeremy get angry on the radio today was just sadly pathetic.
You’d have thought he’d do well on Ken Bruce’s PopMaster.
Best political interview of the day
https://soundcloud.com/spectator1828/dawn-butlers-car-crash-interview-in-full
Listen to it and weep tears of joy, don’t stop listening before you get to the bit where she slanders Costa Coffee, it’s too good for words. She is out of her depth in a slurry lagoon.
The takeaways from this interview were…
– “Rig” is the Labour buzzword of the day.
– Elections are undemocratic.
– Don’t drink Costa, drink Starbucks.
– Transparency, not laws, makes people pay more tax. Because, nice things.
Trump, like any insurgent, required the opposition to be weak.
You can’t win an insurgency against a strong, well-organised for.
He doesn’t even know his own aims. Is he and Labour pro- or ant-Brexit?
Well-organised FOE.
If we are going to talk about rigging then \https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jY98iGETKFk
@Magnusw,
I nearly crashed the car laughing at that earlier. It was so bad, Eddie Mair was too polite to point out some of the contradictions inherent in her statement.
Before anyone wonders- she’s fine press before.
“Corbyn looks like he smells faintly of piss….”
Perfect, BiCR! Accurate and hilarious.
Laughed and snorted so much I’m worried I might smell slightly of piss
No deal is every done until it is done Gentlemen. Like Scrooge, Reality never ships the goods until it has the cash in hand so to speak.
We can’t afford to be complacent.
When your foe is down on the pavement that is just the time to put your boots to him and ensure victory.
And always use a weapon, not even but especially against an unarmed foe. This is war in microcosm.
The Art of War
By
Ecksie
In fact I was paraphrasing the great American martial arts/self-defence expert Bradley J Steiner.
Credit where its due.
I have to say I agree with the initial premise – things are quite twitchy at the moment and one appropriately-timed stock market collapse with associated company collapses, sackings and so on could swing a nasty number of votes Corbyn’s way.
I’m with Mr Ecks on this one – no mercy, no quarter, no prisoners.
Mr Ecks,
Yup. Local Conservative machine here is not acting like it’s in the bag. We’re fighting this as hard as any election.
We really shouldn’t. The local Labour party don’t even have a PPC at this time. The most basic of things you should have in place at all times: a candidate for an election. And because it’s such short notice, there’s not enough time for the local party to pick someone. So we’re going to get an unknown Corbynite, which is going to go down like a cold bucket of sick here.
“When your foe is down on the pavement that is just the time to put your boots to him and ensure victory.”
A friend’s brother was a brawler of some note in my local town (to the extent he used to get nods of ‘respect’ from random strangers when he walked into pubs) and I once asked him what the best technique for winning a street fight was, and his response was the above to a T – get them on the ground and put the boot in.
@FlatcapArmy “I have to say I agree with the initial premise – things are quite twitchy at the moment and one appropriately-timed stock market collapse with associated company collapses, sackings and so on could swing a nasty number of votes Corbyn’s way.”
That would take more than a couple of months to unfold. A higher risk would be some ginormous gaffe from the blue team first XI that gets blown out of proportion by the BBC.
Provided the Conservatives can keep their poll rating in the mid 40s they should end up with a 150+ seat majority. At that level of polling the yellow peril will be lucky to get 20 seats even if they get their rating up to 20%.
“He’s got to turn around 30 years of idiocy in six weeks.”
A week is a long time in politics.
Events, deah boy, events.