It doesn’t matter, it just doesn’t damn matter

Workers in the constituency of shadow chancellor John McDonnell are at the highest risk of seeing their jobs automated in the looming workplace revolution that will affect at least one in five employees in all parliamentary seats, according to new research.

The thinktank Future Advocacy – which specialises in looking at the big 21st century policy changes – said at least one-fifth of jobs in all 650 constituencies were at high risk of being automated, rising to almost 40% in McDonnell’s west London seat of Hayes and Harlington.


Of the 92,150 employees in Hayes and Harlington in 2015, 36,170 (39.3%) were at high risk of having their jobs automated by the early 2030s.

Aha! 15 years in the future.

Jobs churn is 10% per annum for destroyed and recreated jobs, another 10% for quits and hires. There’s at least some technological movement in near all of these changes.

We expect somewhere between 150% of all jobs and 300% to change, technologically, over this same period. Just as has been happening these past 250 years.

It just doesn’t matter. It happens tomorrow then we’ve a late 20s (for the UK) early 30s (for the US) type problem. Over 15 years? Pah!

6 thoughts on “It doesn’t matter, it just doesn’t damn matter”

  1. So Much For Subtlety

    Although it is unlikely that those job losses will be spread evenly across the whole work force.

    I am happy for some young Trevor to try his hand at this and that before settling down to something he likes. But I can see why it may be a matter of concern if some Nigel is turning 57 with a recent divorce and he is replaced by a robot.

  2. Bloke in North Dorset

    Does anyone take this bunch seriously when forecasting economies and technology?

    “Those who have knowledge, don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have knowledge. ”

    –Lao Tzu, 6th Century BC Chinese Poet

  3. BiND –

    Pffft. I see your Lao Tzu and raise you one Danish politician:

    ‘Det er vanskeligt at spaa, især naar det gælder Fremtiden.’

    English: ‘It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.’

    – Karl Kristian Steincke, 1948.

  4. “Long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run, we are all dead.”— John Maynard Keynes

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