Again, I use the word deliberately. Let’s assume that somehow or other the most potent indications of separation will not happen. Let’s assume then that, against the odds, planes do still fly to and from the EU. But let’s assume there is Hard Brexit, without agreement, because nothing else seems plausible right now.
This will men that planes might fly and ships might sail. But how long it then takes to get into and out of the UK is anyone’s guess. Unless the UK decides to abandon all border controls, the flow of people into the UK will take longer than it did before. And IT systems previously shared with the EU probably just won’t work. But we may get round this by simply giving up migration control. But the EU, I think we can be fairly sure, will not be so relaxed. Getting out of this country next year is likely to be hard work.
We’re not in Schengen. You already need a passport to enter the UK…..
And again, even if we decide to throw open our borders (with considerable risk to loss of existing tariff revenues arising as a result)
We pass those tariff revenues along to the EU….
The possibility that VAT will be due on import will be devastating for the cash flow of many small businesses.
We already have a system of suspense accounts…..
I just hope I will be proven wrong, but systemically, this is, I think, by far the biggest and potentially most dangerous crisis Brexit might create, and the most urgent that has to be addressed. But I am not hearing that this is happening.
Well quite. After all, we do expect the government to be sharing its plans with the Sage of Ely, don’t we?