Legalisation and contraception would

What was it? Reduce the incidence?

A third of pregnancies among women in their early 20s end in abortion for the first time, official data has revealed.

Every woman in their 20s has an absolute right to free, buckshee, and effective, contraception. So, how’d that work out then?

Well, it would appear that lowering the cost of each incidence of shagging has raised the frequency. Not unexpected as a result. But the elasticity seems to be that it raises the incidence of abortion. Not quite the elasticity that was predicted really.

17 thoughts on “Legalisation and contraception would”

  1. I suppose it also partly reflects that the average age of first birth is higher than it once was (closer to 30 now), so lots of women who are getting on the pill, having sensible relationships aren’t appearing in the pregnancy completion numbers, but Tinder sluts are on the other side.

  2. Just a thought experiment: what if we retained our current laws defining which abortions are legal but declared that the NHS wouldn’t perform any abortion unless the mother’s life were in imminent danger. How would the abortion rate respond?

  3. But you haven’t lowered the cost of each shag. Pre-contracteption, all shags had zero cost except the few that ended up generating costs. Contraception has reduced the cost of the small proportion of shags with potential issue, but, paradoxically, has actually increased the cost (medical, treatment burden, adverse effects) of the shags that would not have produced issue.

    The economic problem was one of imperfect information – not knowing which shag would produce issue, with the result that you couldn’t risk any shags if you couldn’t afford the childrearing costs, disapproving stares and muttering from the priest’s fag hags, etc.

    For the modern woes, look at the cash and opportunity costs of having a sprog nowadays compared to the past (or compared to poor places, which is the same thing). A lot of people have concluded it simply isn’t worth it.

  4. @ Andrew C. The Fabian Society favoured abortion as a contraceptive measure to control the working class population in the UK over 100 years ago. That’s how the Marie Stopes clinics originated. Planned Parenthood does the same job amongst the African-American population in the US. Note that both initiatives come from the caring, sharing Left.

  5. “For the modern woes, look at the cash and opportunity costs of having a sprog nowadays compared to the past (or compared to poor places, which is the same thing). A lot of people have concluded it simply isn’t worth it.”

    The main costs of having sprogs today is the loss of 2nd income, housing and holidays (because I have to go at peak time). Actually feeding and clothing kids and all the other stuff (musical instruments, felt-tip pens, furniture, bikes, the latest music from the hit parade, Twilight novels) costs almost nothing. A new school violin is £100. When I was growing up they cost more than that. School shirts cost about £6 in Sainsbury’s. Oh, and there’s mountains of free/very cheap second hand stuff via Freecycle, eBay and Facebook groups.

  6. Yes, and that loss of second income, need for more square feet, close to the “right” school, having to spend all your leisure time doing kid-focused activities at a kid-focused resort surrounded by other peoples’ kids, then cough up for many more years of university fees and living expenses, to mention nothing of the expectation you will blow £50k on each (first) wedding, adds up to rather a lot of cost. Throw in the fact you are now likely to be some distance from low-cost grandparental child care.

    As a friend of mine once said, “I have the alternative to money. They’re called children”.

  7. ‘Every woman in their 20s has an absolute right to free, buckshee, and effective, contraception. So, how’d that work out then?’

    Well.

    No contraception method is 100% effective, even the Pill. Barrier contraceptives are least reliable and most frequently used in casual encounters.

    Whereas in the absence of freely available contraception, abstinence was the contraceptive of choice, now their availability removes that caution.

    Sex education promoting condoms as protection against conception and STDs has made them popular and given a false impression that as long as condoms (or other contraception) are used, it will be OK, except many do not use condoms as advised. Condoms should always be used with spermicidal gel and before any genital contact, sperm always being present at the tip of the penis.

    Failed contraception, particularly in casual encounters, is most likely to lead to abortion.

  8. Kevin L

    What’s wrong with having fewer African-Americans? In general, they are a cost, not a benefit, to the US.

  9. Isn’t it like the seat belt thing?. There’s a background risk people are comfortable with, reduce the possibility of it occurring and people engage in a little more to bring it up to the same risk.

  10. The main costs of having sprogs today is the loss of 2nd income, housing and holidays

    It’s the first two and it’s a double whammy. Second incomes have pushed up house prices, losing it means you lose both ways.

  11. A third of pregnancies among women in their early 20s end in abortion for the first time, official data has revealed

    That is really poor English. A pregnancy can only end once, so “the first time” is meaningless. “One third of first pregnancies for women in their early 20s end in abortion” would be clearer.

  12. @Kevin Lohse April 16, 2019 at 11:39 am

    Don’t forget the caring, sharing Left have now legalised abortion up to and after birth in AOC/Blasio New York

    Mother: “Green eyes? Don’t like it; rid me of this infant”

    Doctor: injects potion “Done. Nurse, put it in ‘incinerate’ bin”

  13. John B,

    Yes, depending upon your assumptions about how much shagging is going on involving women in their twenties, then the number of abortions in the UK can be very close to the anticipated “real world” failure rate of contraception. Again, depending on your assumptions, the number of abortions can be lower than expected by the failure rate, suggesting that younger women who find themselves unexpectedly pregnant are not particularly “godless” or immoral, apart from all the shagging, anyway.

    I would not like to be faced with having to shape policy around this observation, by the way.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *