Given that I have zero medical training what I think about it is irrelevant of course and yet:
An end to the Aids epidemic could be in sight after a landmark study found men whose HIV infection was fully suppressed by antiretroviral drugs had no chance of infecting their partner.
The success of the medicine means that if everyone with HIV were fully treated, there would be no further infections.
Among nearly 1,000 male couples across Europe where one partner with HIV was receiving treatment to suppress the virus, there were no cases of transmission of the infection to the HIV-negative partner during sex without a condom. Although 15 men were infected with HIV during the eight-year study, DNA testing proved that was through sex with someone other than their partner who was not on treatment.
It is indeed possible to wipe out diseases where humans are the only ones that get it. Smallpox proved that, we’re damn close with polio too. Where there’s a reservoir in anther species – plague, leprosy, say – then we can’t. And yet I don’t really believe this with HIV.
We know that it is highly adaptable, it mutates all the time. All it takes is one more mutation around that current treatment and off we go again.
And given human propensities I think we would be off again. Something that reduces the cost of unprotected sex is, among us shaved apes, going to increase the amount of unprotected sex. Actually eliminating HIV from those currently infected might work but suppressing it? Doubt is somehow.
Sure, it’s great that we’ve stopped infection and all that but the elimination is the bit I suspect ain’t gonna happen.