Seem gun control doesn’t work

The last time the US federal government limited gun ownership was 25 years ago

As is obvious the limitations aren’t working. Thus gun control doesn’t work, right?

50 thoughts on “Seem gun control doesn’t work”

  1. In fact, as more limitations have been imposed by state and city as well as federal governments, the more mass shootings there have been. Really jogs the noggin, that.

  2. Not sure why anyone cares. 20~ people a couple of times a year out of 300m people.

    Why does it happen in the USA? News coverage. They become notorious celebrities. Swiss gun laws are about as liberal.

    People texting on their phones while driving is a far bigger killer.

  3. Bloke In Westerville

    We are already starting to get reports that the Dayton shooter had a history of mental health issues, including putting together lists of high school classmates he wanted to either murder or rape. I’m not ready to take a correlation between SSRIs and mass shootings as causation, but one factor has repeated itself: The lack of treatment and/or under-treatment of individuals who have and are displaying mental health issues. I suspect when the facts are presented in their entirety we will find that several (if not all) of the last three shooters (Garlic Festival, Walmart, Dayton) had shown symptoms of serious mental health problems over an extended period of time that were assiduously ignored by family and/or school personnel and/or social services personnel and/or law enforcement personnel… Much as what happened in the case of Nikolas Cruz.

  4. In the developed world, it does seem – I emphasise ‘seem’; I haven’t run the numbers – to be mostly an American phenomenon.

    I’m against gun control on libertarian grounds. But even if I was fervently in favour of it, I’d need a lot of persuading that the frequency of this kind of behaviour was a consequence of widespreadgun-ownership.

    I get the impression that in many ways America is the canary in the coalmine for a lot of things – drugginess, vibrancy, political polarities, grotesque celebrities and the lust for fame. I could go on. We always end up copying them one way or the other anyway.

    Point is, and after all it’s a libertarian argument albeit at a practical level, if it wasn’t guns it’d be summat else. Lorries, for e.g. The point is the murderous nuttiness, not the tools deployed by the murderous nutter.

  5. The first need is a 3d printer that can 1-make limitless copies of itself and 2–produce limitless firearms. Ending forever their plans to disarm us.

  6. Jim – I don’t think SSRI’s are causing it, although I take them and sometimes feel a bit murdery when I forget my crazy pills.

    I think the underlying social decay that leads millions of people (who don’t necessarily have anything inherently wrong with their brain chemistry) to need SSRI’s is what’s causing it.

    Modern society is simultaneously alienating and insanifying.

    We agree with Canadian lobster-wrangler Jordan B. Peterson that we crowdsource sanity, I hope?

    Well, what happens when the traditional methods of keeping people engaged in, invested in, and moderated by this thing we call society start to break down?

    It’s no one thing. Mass immigration constantly tickles the threat centres of our brains, because we’re still a tribal species even though we pretend otherwise. The internet may turn out to be the most antisocial invention in history, it’s having all sorts of negative effects on people’s mental health in an era where relationships are increasingly mediated by technology. The sexual revolution has created a generation of incels – a horrifyingly large percentage of Milennial men simply can’t get a shag. Smaller families and the helicopter parenting that breeds has raised the most socially awkward and isolated generation in human history. Modern workplaces feel insecure and unsatisfying. We’re funnelling millions of youngsters into fake university degrees that lead to NEETdom. People no longer believe in God, so they’re not soothed by the traditional opiate of the masses.

    The question isn’t why some young white men go Tonto and start killing people, the question is what’s stopping this from being a daily event.

    And the politicians flap their gums about gun control. Which is like trying to stop WW1 by banning pickelhaubes.

    The West has been sowing the wind since 1945, and it’s about whirlwind o’clock.

    We’d all better strap in, because the next few years are gonna be lit af with all the yeeting and boogaloos going down. #yolo

  7. I regret

    (i) this comes from medium.com, and so may be BS
    (ii) I haven’t checked the sources.

    .. but it says that murder rates are not correlated with guns-per-head – not anywhere.

    So it could well be SSRI’s; it could be simply a side-effect of social media letting many more people think it’s OK to act at what the voices in their heads are telling them to do; it could be the American-invented push to make every young person’s self-esteem skin high, especially in the absence of any good reason for it to be above ground (and thereby leading to untold misery and mental discord); it could be false perception caused by idiot news outlets (as commented above, the actual numbers aren’t very high – the Yanks kill an average of 100 people a day with their cars, and maim many more)..

    But it ain’t the sheer number of guns, no sirree!

    Anyway, the link (did I originally find it on here? Can’t remember):

    https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/everybodys-lying-about-the-link-between-gun-ownership-and-homicide-1108ed400be5

  8. Anyone, Mr Ecks, can make a firearm given a modicum of engineering skills & a few simple tools. Set yourself up for under £1000. It’s the ammunition’s a challenge.

  9. Bloke in North Dorset

    https://twitter.com/neiltyson/status/1158074774297468928?s=21

    “In the past 48hrs, the USA horrifically lost 34 people to mass shootings.

    On average, across any 48hrs, we also lose…

    500 to Medical errors
    300 to the Flu
    250 to Suicide
    200 to Car Accidents
    40 to Homicide via Handgun

    Often our emotions respond more to spectacle than to data.”

    It’s caused quite a stir, as you’d expect. But nobody has said it’s false.

  10. But it ain’t the sheer number of guns, no sirree!

    From a purely mundane practical point of view it is. Lots of guns is lots of opportunity to use them. The UK probably has a higher incidence of potential unpleasant nutters than the US (just a feeling) but no mass shootings. No opportunity.

    As I say, just a mundane reality not a moral judgement. My view is that the grim toll of gun deaths is a price worth paying like the grim toll of car deaths is. Guns and cars are freedom utilities.

    I also agree with the notion that the US needs more law abiding people carrying guns, not fewer.

  11. Guy at Garlic Festival raises his rifle and shoots. One or two bystanders pull out their pistols and shoot the shit out of him. The end.

    I love a story with a happy ending. But it didn’t end that way, did it? The bad guy fires away for a minute before police arrive. “The only thing that will stop a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.” The good guy doesn’t have to be a police officer. Bad guys tend to look around to make sure no officers are around before they start their dirty deeds.

    The idea that you can monitor the mental state of 325,000,000 people and intervene before they start a killing spree is preposterous.

    The concept of “gun control,” that you can keep an adult who isn’t locked up from getting a gun in a country with 200,000,000 guns, is juvenile.

    Adequate defense on site is the only solution. An armed citizenry.

    ‘A well regulated militia, being necessary to the security of a free state, the right of the people to keep and bear arms, shall not be infringed.’

    Government infringes. Nut cases exploit it. Government declares, “We must infringe some more!” Government strives to make it easier for nut cases to mass murder.

  12. I’d love it if there was hard evidence to show the low gun crime rate in SWI and elsewhere was because of universal SHI healthcare, the legality of paying for sex, and the tolerance of taking recreational drugs.
    The USA – still the greatest country there’s ever been by a long way, but they are rather harsh in the treatment of the bottom of their talent distribution..

  13. It doesn’t work in the US. It works here to the extent of stopping me buying a pistol or an automatic rifle. If it stopped criminals getting them too it would be an unqualified success.

    On the other hand, maybe it has further worked here by making it hard for the insane to get guns. Or is it just chance that we’ve not had a slaughter on those lines lately?

  14. Bloke In Westerville

    In the developed world, it does seem – I emphasise ‘seem’; I haven’t run the numbers – to be mostly an American phenomenon.

    Yeah, you haven’t run the fucking numbers, have you? So why spout?

    Per the Crime Prevention Research Center, using data from 2009 to 2015, here’s what we know about mass shootings per country:

    Average Death Rates (per million):
    Norway 1.888
    Serbia 0.381
    France 0.347
    Macedonia 0.337
    Albania 0.206
    Slovakia 0.185
    Switzerland 0.142
    Finland 0.132
    Belgium 0.128
    The Czech Republic 0.123
    The United States of America 0.089

    Here’s the numbers for frequency of mass shootings:
    Macedonia 0.471
    Albania 0.360
    Serbia 0.281
    Switzerland 0.249
    Norway 0.197
    Slovakia 0.185
    Finland 0.184
    Belgium 0.179
    Austria 0.119
    The Czech Republic 0.096
    France 0.092
    The United States 0.078

    Per the CPRC:

    “There is a common misconception that the United States is one of the top few countries, if not the top country, that have the highest mass shooting rates. But the truth of the matter is that the United States is actually number sixty-six on the list of countries in terms of mass shooting rates.

    That finding rings true when all countries around the world are taken into consideration. Looking at the United States alongside all the countries in Europe alone, the United States has the twelfth highest mass shooting rate. A few of the European countries with a higher mass shooting rate than the United States include Russia, Norway, France, Switzerland and Finland.”

    Found via a Google search that took less than a minute.

  15. The whole point of gun control is that Hillary and Bill’s professionals get you before you get them.

    Banning guns entirely just rigs the odds even further in their favour.

    Note that banning guns does NOT apply to everyone. It only applies to those who are neither rich nor famous.

  16. Bloke In Westerville
    “Yeah, you haven’t run the fucking numbers, have you? So why spout? Per the Crime Prevention Research Center, ..
    Found via a Google search that took less than a minute.”

    But since the Crime Prevention Research Centre is a pro-gun lobbying organisation, there is no special reason to trust it as a source on this matter. Even if it only took one second to find it.

  17. Anyone, Mr Ecks, can make a firearm given a modicum of engineering skills & a few simple tools. Set yourself up for under £1000. It’s the ammunition’s a challenge.

    If you’re talking about a homemade Glock then I’m not really seeing it. If, however, you are talking about a 1940’s style sten gun then I can easily see that being mass manufactured in some seedy backstreet factory somewhere, in fact, I suspect that it is only the easy availability of guns in the US and elsewhere of far higher quality and smuggled into the UK which is preventing backstreet manufacture.

    If you’re manufacturing sten guns, you can just as easily manufacture the rest of the equipment, from cartridges up to magazines.

    The gunpowder can be manufactured, but again it is probably just as easy to smuggle it in from places where it is easier to obtain (currently the US, but there are other sources as well), just hide it in bags of compost, cement or whatever.

  18. Bloke In Westerville

    Spiro –

    I’m well aware of that, but the fact that they happen to be pro-gun doesn’t mean their numbers are unreliable or biased, as you seem to be insinuating.

    Please feel free to provide rebuttal via numbers you find from a more anti-gun organization and explain why their numbers are more reliable and less biased.

    It shouldn’t take more than a minute or so.

  19. Bloke In Westerville

    John Galt –

    There a numerous examples of small black market gun manufacturers all over the world. There are a fair number of them along the Pakistan and Afghanistan border, and it is very easy to get a homemade 1911 just about anywhere in the Philippines. Hell, the North Vietnamese made a number of homemade 1911s back in the ’60s and ’70s. They pop up on rare gun auctions over here every now and again.

  20. Homicide by firearms discharge, the official term for people murdered with guns, numbers about 11,000 a year in the U.S.

    One could look at that statistic and think there is a problem here. What the statistic doesn’t show is that black males killing black males is 6,000 of them. 6.5% of the population commits over half of the murders with guns. For the other 285,000,000 Americans, the rate is quite low.

  21. For some reason the media seems to have ignored the 11 people shot in Chicago this weekend. Eight of them in one incident. Somehow that was not a “mass shooting”.

    Of course this is pretty normal for Chicago. Whatever doesn’t support the narrative.

  22. Update!

    Apparently the gun violence toll in Chicago over the weekend was 7 killed, 55 wounded.

    One hospital had to stop accepting new cases because it had too many gunshot victims.

    Ironically, two women in a group named “Mother’s Against Senseless Killings” were shot and killed in the crossfire.

    None of this showed up in the national news.

  23. Bloke in North Dorset

    This is from a Canadian PhD economics student who is as “liberal” in the American sense as they come:

    “The effect of gun control on homicides is ambiguous. Possibly positive because guns kill, possibly negative because they deter and defend. Suicides, on the other hand, have a strong positive relationship with gun ownership. If we control guns it should be to stop suicides.

    Are guns significantly more effective at mass killings than motor vehicles? It’s good that we have security around airplanes and nuclear weapons, but I’m not sure we can stop someone who wants to kill a dozen people. Not without a complete surveillance state.“

    Whatever your view, it’s probably too late, the genie isn’t going back in the bottle no matter how much legislators try.

    One point that’s often forgotten, the government being scared of the people and not the people being scared of the government was the thinking behind the idea of an armed militia.

  24. Bloke in Westerville, I’ve had a look at the site you kindly recommend. It has more data than I have time to plough through.

    A propos my observation about prevalence in the developed world, I noticed from the mass shooting figures you quote above that the following countries are absent: Britain, Spain, Germany, the Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, Russia, Italy, Canada, Greece, Hungary, Poland, South Korea, Singapore, Ireland, Israel, Australia and New Zealand.

    I dare say we can palter about which countries are truly developed, but in your list you include Macedonia and Albania.

  25. Ted S, Catskill Mtns, NY, USA

    But since the Crime Prevention Research Centre is a pro-gun lobbying organisation, there is no special reason to trust it as a source on this matter.

    But government-funded surveys that result in saying we need more state are totes legit.

  26. Steve,

    Its really about the rise of wall-to-wall news coverage. Decades ago, someone who murdered their classmates in a rural area would be a local news item.You couldn’t easily get a crew there in time, you had 30 minutes of news per night. You couldn’t get a photo of the perp. There was nothing to run for a long time.

    Now, there’s a crew there that day and they can spend days on it. it gets great ratings. So they become famous. They achieve some sort of recognition for their existence.

  27. Bloke in Westerville

    The weakness in the data you site is in the definition of what’s included – ‘public places’, ‘ no other crimes involved’. Presumably a private event or place, somewhere indoors isn’t included. If Anders Breivik had murdered on a private island, would it have been excluded? I can’t be bothered to check and compare it to the data that C Lott has compiled.
    I’m just not buying that around 30 people a year on average are murdered in the USA ( 0.09 per million ) in mass shootings, and that is a reasonable method of comparison

  28. Bloke In Westerville

    Edward and Bongo –

    Feel free to provide the data that is either missing or incorrectly defined.

    I’m going to take a wild guess and say neither of you will. You will say you don’t have the time… I will say that facts have bumped up against your preconceived (and uninformed) notions and you don’t like the feel of it. Better to throw out a bit of criticism and walk away with opinions intact than do the work necessary to validate them.

    And I can’t help but notice that Spiro hasn’t been back…

  29. @BIW

    Crime Prevention Research Center, using data from 2009 to 2015

    Why such an odd range of years ? Why does it end 2015 ? What is the definition of mass shooting ?

  30. Bloke in Westerville, are you related to Dennis?

    I don’t have a dog in this fight – as I made clear in the first sentence I wrote. So, you may be right, you may be wrong. I don’t care. You’re objecting to something that wasn’t there, then jumping up and down in triumph.

    It’s a bit odd.

  31. @Bloke in Westerville,

    I don’t need to refine the data – the claim by your man C Lott that there are around 30 murdered per year on average in the USA from mass shootings is bollockios.
    May be true if you can kick out all the ones on private property and another crime also took place. But you’re left with something that isn’t meaningful to discuss.

  32. Dennis of Many Names

    I don’t have a dog in this fight – as I made clear in the first sentence I wrote.

    It might be useful to remind you what you did write:

    In the developed world, it does seem – I emphasise ‘seem’; I haven’t run the numbers – to be mostly an American phenomenon.

    And when I provided the numbers to run, your response – which should have been along the lines of ‘maybe I need to rethink this’ – was basically ‘meh’. And here I was taking you seriously enough to give you the data to allow you to rethink an opinion and perhaps move a bit closer to reality. Which is what a discussion of a serious nature on a serious topic deserves, right?

  33. Dennis of Many Names

    I don’t need to refine the data…

    Evidently you don’t feel the need to replace it with data that is more meaningful, either. Should only take a minute or so, you know.

    Carry on.

  34. Oh, Dennis, bless you, you silly old sod.

    If my response was “meh”, then it can scarcely be the case “that facts have bumped up against [my] preconceived (and uninformed) notions and [I] don’t like the feel of it”, can it?

    As for replacing your data with other data, well. It’s possible you’re very clever and can parse this stuff in seconds. But when this morning I looked at the site to which you kindly referred me, it very quickly became clear that the data is voluminous, liable to multiple interpretations and the subject far more complex than certainly I’d imagined.

    So perhaps the subject can be digested in a minute, if you’re very clever. But I doubt it can.

    Go and put your feet up.

  35. @John Galt
    No-one’s used gunpowder in a serious weapon for more than a century. If it was gunpowder, it wouldn’t be a problem. You could make it the kitchen table with materials you can buy in the high street.
    Nitrocellulose isn’t that hard. Precursors are a couple of common industrially used acids & high school level chemistry. Getting a reliable consistent propellant’s another thing. Not so amenable to small scale manufacture. Primers to go in the cartridge cases are tricky. Basically you’d need a machine made primers. Possibly one could re-purpose the primers used in replica blank firing gun ammunition or a nail-gun. cartridge. But if it became a problem, you’d soon see blank firing replicas banned & nail guns have been moving to propane for years.
    But there’s always smuggling. Everything else gets smuggled.

  36. What about home-made rail guns, Mr in Spain?

    Without wishing to bring GCHQ down on our esteemed host’s head. I am merely curious, and not even asking for a friend.

  37. Not Dennis, Someone Else

    What about home-made rail guns, Mr in Spain?

    Got access to a million or so amps? If not, it doesn’t really matter whether you can build one or not.

  38. Dennis, He of Many Names

    But when this morning I looked at the site to which you kindly referred me, it very quickly became clear that the data is voluminous, liable to multiple interpretations and the subject far more complex than certainly I’d imagined.

    Sorry, I made the mistake of taking you seriously. Won’t happen again.

  39. No you didn’t. You know better than to take me seriously. Or, you ought.

    You got angry for no particular reason. You then constructed a straw man in order to enjoy demolishing him.

    I was little more than an interested spectator.

    Thanks for the info on rail guns.

    Go and put your feet up.

  40. That’s just rude.

    NiV was possessed of sparkling wit. Not to mention brevity of expression.

    How’re your feet?

  41. Ok Dennis – this took about a minute.
    “The United States has the largest prison population in the world, and the highest per-capita incarceration rate.[3][4][5] In 2016 in the US, there were 655 people incarcerated per 100,000 population”
    I’m treading on dangerous territory here because I’d bet that a surprising number of people in the UK believe they should have a say in what laws the USA passes over themselves. A surprising number of people in the UK ( 48% according to a 2016 referendum ) appear to think that the UK should have more say in the internal affairs of smaller countries in the EU than they do over themselves ( thanks to QMV and the net contribution to EU funds ). They disgust me.
    The USA should of course set its own laws. It would be absurd though to base the framing of any new laws on a claim that crime in the USA is not an outlier in international comparisons.

  42. “The effect of gun control on homicides is ambiguous. Possibly positive because guns kill, possibly negative because they deter and defend.”

    People kill. Guns are objects. Tools. “Guns kill” is stupid.

    “Suicides, on the other hand, have a strong positive relationship with gun ownership. If we control guns it should be to stop suicides.”

    Gross ignorance. People intent on killing themselves will. Guns have double ought nothing to do with it. I have a friend who was a coroner’s assistant, and dealt with the bodies of suicide victims. He says you cannot imagine the ways people invent to do themselves off.

    “Are guns significantly more effective at mass killings than motor vehicles? It’s good that we have security around airplanes and nuclear weapons, but I’m not sure we can stop someone who wants to kill a dozen people. Not without a complete surveillance state.“

    I have hypothisized for decades that the availability of guns has caused mass murderers to not seek really good methods of killing lots of people. I know of ways to kill hundreds of people for $25 of materials. I am not going to say how because I don’t want people to use the idea.

    Note that Timothy McVeigh used kerosene and fertilizer to kill 168 people and injure 680. Wouldn’t it have been better if he had used a gun and killed 15 before being killed himself?

  43. ‘Senator Diane Feinstein displays an assault rifle at a press conference in 1994.’

    A lie. She would have been arrested had she actually had one.

    ‘That law was known as the Federal Assault Weapons Ban, and it was temporary. Written into the legislation was an expiration date of 10 years. But for that decade, the law essentially banned the manufacture, sale, and possession of some military-style assault weapons, including the AR-15.’

    Colossal ignorance of firearms displayed. But it’s Quartz. Lying in support of their agenda is moral.

    ‘A recent study found that the ban reduced the number of mass shootings during the decade it existed.’

    Another lie. It was a colossal failure. Well, okay, the study was commissioned to find that the Assault Weapons Ban worked. It didn’t. But that’s not the answer the researchers were paid for.

    ‘the lack of consistent countrywide regulations has been a matter of intense debate in recent years, especially as mass shootings become more and more frequent. After two mass shootings over the weekend in Dayton, Ohio and El Paso, Texas, those debates are likely to escalate.’

    “We are going to exploit these tragedies TO THE MAX!”

    The Left doesn’t want you to be able to defend yourself, your family, or your community. They want you fully dependent on government. They will say ANYTHING to achieve that.

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