Just 34.4% of cases referred by the police to the CPS during 2018-19 resulted in a charge – in 2014 the rate was 62%.
Despite a sharp increase in the number of rapes being reported to the police, far fewer defendants were prosecuted and convicted of the crime last year.
There is some number of rapes in the country each year. Far too many, obviously, one is too many.
There are always some rapes where the facts cannot be established. Not sufficiently to lead to a conviction at least. Sad but there we are, an inevitable byproduct of having to prove guilt beyond reasonable doubt.
So, assume the number of rapes doesn’t change. The reports of rapes rise. What’s likely to happen to hte conviction rate? It’ll fall, right? Because the increase in reporting is likely to be of the marginal cases.
It’s not despite therefore, it’s because.