And here we have a twat writing in The Guardian

Big surprise, eh?

The world is in the early stages of what may be the most deadly pandemic of the past 100 years. In China, thousands of people have already died; large outbreaks have begun in South Korea, Iran and Italy; and the rest of the world is bracing for impact. We do not yet know whether the final toll will be measured in thousands or hundreds of thousands.

Hundreds of thousands? That’s the sort of number we’ll only note by very detailed studies of the demographics. That’s less than the annual ‘flu toll.

Asian ‘flu in 1958 (with a smaller world population) killed 4 million mebbe. Spanish ‘flu in 1918 – a much smaller global population – anywhere between 20 and 100 million dependent upon whose guess you want to believe.

There are perhaps 60 million deaths globally each year. Hundreds of thousands doesn’t really move that needle.

15 thoughts on “And here we have a twat writing in The Guardian”

  1. The most recent figure I’ve seen for projected numbers (of deaths) in 3 per cent of the over 80s. Hardly something to keep us awake at night (unless we are over 80).

  2. The only figures I trust come out of South Korea: they are mass testing and the test they are using is said to be 95% sensitive as opposed to the 70% sensitive test used in Japan on the Plague Princess passengers ie they are testing all symptomatic contacts of known cases.

  3. The peak of deaths from coronavirus in China was just over 100 per day, which is hidden in the noise from ~50,000 deaths a day from all causes. And in the UK, if we select 200 men aged 80 at random, 11 of them will die in the next 12 months (the equivalent number for women is 8; for men aged 90, 33).

  4. Also all deaths WITH the virus are counted regardless of whether the virus was the cause or not

    I have seen figures for Italy indicating the number of other pathologies the deceased had and many had numerous. So blaming corona for 100% of those deaths is clearly a vast overstatement

  5. Hector Drummond has covered the innumerate TV presenters story too. One of them later tweeted that she needed to buy a calculator. As if you need a calculator to know that this was bollox, I came up with $1.50 off the top of my head, the actual number being $1.53. You only need to think about handing out the money a million at a time to realise that you will run out at five hundred people.

  6. ‘The full history of humanity covers at least 200,000 years. While we have scarce records for most of these 2,000 centuries’

    “Hi! I’m a journalist, and I don’t know what ‘history’ means.”

    ‘One of the most exciting trends in biotechnology is its rapid democratisation’

    “Hi! I’m a journalist, and I don’t know what ‘democratisation’ means.”

    ‘This is an edited extract from’

    Gawd! A LONGER version is available !?!? Shoot me now.

  7. @Emil

    Also all deaths WITH the virus are counted regardless of whether the virus was the cause or not

    As with the death of Fly Be

  8. “That’s less than the annual ‘flu toll.” Nobody knows the annual flu toll. The published numbers are guesses based on mathematical modelling. For all I know they are honest and intelligent guesses but they are not based on autopsies, genome studies of viruses, and such.

    ” projected numbers “: projected by whom, on what evidence?

    “The peak of deaths from coronavirus in China was just over 100 per day”: because everything we’re told by a Communist government must be true.

    You know less than you think you do, gentlemen.

  9. Twats? Left Eating Themselves…

    Lisa Nandy de-platforms herself as…

    Guardian Editorial Conference Descends into Trans Row over Moore Article

    More: Guardian staff say they’re not safe working here

    Guardianistas? Batshit crazy the lot of them

    A piece by Nick Cohen in tomorrow’s Observer that ought to be required reading for those on the left who think they own the various minorities…
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/07/how-repellent-to-damn-minorities-for-not-having-the-right-politics

    The squeaking gears of Cohen’s mind are unlubricated by unprejudiced reason; in fact, the dognitive dissonance is loud and clear. I bet his eyeballs were swivelling furiously as he wrote that

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *