The Visiting Senior Lecturer:
But the data is also grossly wrong. As Chris Giles, also of the FT has made clear, the scale of under-reporting of deaths is staggering,
Yep, they’re lying to us. And this is the institution that Snippa insists must run ever more of our lives:
The government is not continually acknowledging this. I suspect it is desperate to keep deaths at less than 1,000 a day. I suspect it is deliberately suppressing data as a result. I am sure that it knows the situation is much worse than it is reporting.
Our Covid-19 deaths are far worse than the government represents.
Of course, the musing is not merely paranoia, it’s also miserably illinformed:
Second, the data excludes those who would not have died but for Covid-19 because of treatment of those who have coronavirus. I will be astonished if deaths from other causes are not rising, significantly.
Well, no, not really. Those who would have died of some other ailment soon enough are largely those who do die of coronavirus. Not absolutely, of course, but largely. Further, we’re going to see rather a reduction in influenza deaths this year. Because while coronavirus isn’t quite an influenza it does take those who would – largely again – have gone from the normal winter influenza outbreak.
We’ve even got a bit of a clue here. At least so far all cause mortality doesn’t seem to have shifted. And our data on all cause is rather better than that down a level of granularity as to cause.
Eventually the rate of abnormal deaths will also be known: the Office for National Statistics issue death-rate data weekly, and it is no more than two weeks out of date. The falsification of this data will become apparent.
Well, actually, it’s entirely possible that there will be no change at all. It’s even within the bounds of statistically possibility that the all cause death rate has fallen in recent weeks.
And isn’t this lovely:
The real cost of this misinformation is going to be massive.
And I am angry about that. This government is engaging in a propaganda war it is bound to lose at cost to us all and is doing so simply to protect their own incompetence.
That is unforgivable. I hope they are not forgiven.
Again, this is about the institution that Snippa insists must have more power over us all. No doubt the tractor statistics will be entirely different tho’.
There’s also more than just a sneaking suspicion about a tad of projection here. Given the repeated infelicities of certain tax avoidance statistics might this be more a complaint about well, that’s what I would do if I were them?