Well, no, not really

Jamaal Bowman wins New York congressional seat in major victory for progressives

He’s just won the D primary. Which does mean he’s really pretty sure he will win the seat but still, he’s not been elected as yet.

24 thoughts on “Well, no, not really”

  1. “Bowman became a leading advocate against standardized testing”

    Really progressive. Allow schools in poor areas to wallow in the gutter because of bad leadership. Bad, lazy teachers probably love this guy because the last thing they want is someone adding up whether they are doing their job properly.

  2. So Much For Subtlety

    It is a stepping stone on the Venezuelanisation of America. The Left has wanted to flood America with Chavez voters because White people don’t buy that shit. They have succeeded. But the Democrat party is likely to become Venezuelan just before America does.

    So the older White Jewish guy is replaced by the younger radical. And so immigration kills America.

  3. SMFS – something something hubris and the golem.

    has ousted the 16-term Democratic congressman Eliot Engel

    16 (!) terms. It’s amazing how many US political institutions are dominated by geriatrics who refuse to gracefully retire/die. Used to be the Kremlin that was also a nursing home.

  4. I note that Momentum’s takeover of the Labour party somewhat reduced the prospect of a Labour government.
    There is hope that the progressive takeover of the Dems will have a similar effect.

  5. Bloke in North Dorset

    “ 16 (!) terms. It’s amazing how many US political institutions are dominated by geriatrics who refuse to gracefully retire/die. Used to be the Kremlin that was also a nursing home.”

    Two year terms, so that’s 32 years doing nothing much more than campaigning. The Founders envisaged the two year term would mean that Congress was more in touch with public opinion with the 6 year term of a Senator as a counterweight to populism. Instead, being in Congress has become a bully pulpit for raising even more money and/or raising your profile like AOC, it’s become little to do with governing.

    Biden may be ahead in the polls, further ahead than Clinton at this stage, but they can’t keep him wrapped up in his cellar and at some point he’ll have to come out and when Americans see his deterioration there’s going to be serious questions asked. Also, Niall Ferguson (the historian) reckons that the gun ownership is the most significant indicator of voting Republican and there’s been a big surge in gun ownership after the BLM riots. It’s all to play for for Trump.

  6. Biden may be ahead in the polls, further ahead than Clinton at this stage, but they can’t keep him wrapped up in his cellar and at some point he’ll have to come out and when Americans see his deterioration there’s going to be serious questions asked.

    Yarp. The election is definitely up for grabs and the Dems’ media partisans are doing the same premature victory jig they did in 2016, boasting about demographics displacing the hated white man forever, etc. etc.

    However, they *probably* can’t keep Cotton Wool Joe a virtual candidate forever. Senile Max Headroom isn’t a terribly persuasive proposition.

    I say probably, because a lot of the politicisation of Covid 19 is very obviously about trying to stop DRUMPH campaigning / justifying postal vote fraud / keeping Joepedo from drooling in public. But I dunno how long they can realistically spin that out.

    The White Lives Don’t Matter campaign is a high risk strategy, born out of desperation IMO. Traditionally, voters don’t actually like being relentlessly accused of racism by blue-haired weirdos, or seeing the blacks burn down cities with impunity.

    Unfortunately the state of the MSM/polling/propaganda (there’s no real demarcation anymore) is such that it’s impossible to get a good read on public opinion in a hysterical environment where people are losing their jobs for saying crazy racist shit like “all lives matter”.

    The US and Russia have basically swapped places since 1991 in a lot of ways, though in all fairness at least Pravda never encouraged people to hate their ancestors and kneel to negroes.

  7. The “shy Republlicans” rather like the “shy brexiteers” are missed by the polls until the big one takes place.

    In any event the pollsters invariably under-sample registered Republicans by far more than their claimed margins of error.

  8. 16 (!) terms. It’s amazing how many US political institutions are dominated by geriatrics who refuse to gracefully retire/die. Used to be the Kremlin that was also a nursing home.

    Churchill was in Parliament for 60 odd years. Stood down at nearly ninety years of age.

  9. Churchill’s achievements stack up well compared to those of 16 term congressman Eliot Engel.

    Generally I take your point. There have been better examples though, Churchill’s grandson with his 36 years as an MP springs immediately to mind.

  10. So Much For Subtlety

    Tony Benn served how many years? His useless son and granddaughter?

    I am not a Churchill fan but there is so much worse.

  11. “Senile Max Headroom isn’t a terribly persuasive proposition.”

    This has a secondary, even LARGER impact: whomever he selects (or is selected for him by the Party) for vice president, will be viewed by the electorate as the Dems real candidate. Few expect Paedo Joe to last 4 years. Even making it to inauguration is in doubt.

    Most anyone they pick will be toxic. They will likely pick from those who LOST to Biden (of all people) in the primary. So Trump will likely campaign against the veep, not Biden. It will be so easy.

    Polls say Biden is ahead. Yada, yada, yada. This is going to be a Trump BLOWOUT. 49 states in the Electoral College. Walter Mondale all over again.

  12. I should add that there will be down ballot impact, too. Republicans may get the House back.*

    *Not that they’d do anything with it. Losers.

  13. PJF – wasn’t Churchill respectfully regarded as useless after WW2? Not that he was terribly popular before it.

    Gamecock – The other thing to watch out for is the Hispanic vote. They hate Los Negros with a red hot chili passion (Mexicans would never, ever allow blacks to run riot through their cities, only stupid gringos do that), and won’t be impressed with the Dems turning into the Black Party.

    It’s too much to expect these Natural Conservatives to vote R in huge numbers, but Trump will probably pick up some votes while Biden may struggle more than usual to inspire their turnout.

    People who assume MUH DEMOGRAPHICS ensures the final triumph of progressive sex perverts and multiculti haven’t been paying attention to Latin America.

  14. Dennis, On The Front Lines Fightin' Them Chlorinated Chickens

    Biden may be ahead in the polls, further ahead than Clinton at this stage, but they can’t keep him wrapped up in his cellar and at some point he’ll have to come out and when Americans see his deterioration there’s going to be serious questions asked.

    The first thing to keep in mind is that national polls don’t mean anything. Meaningful polling is done at the state and congressional district levels.

    Second, any poll is only as good as the sample used in the poll. Professional political pollsters spend years developing polling populations they can sample and get reliable results from. Media and college polls don’t do that.

    Third, the devil is always in the details… Look at some of the polls that are being bandied about; they aren’t worth a hoot because they’ve got the demographics wrong in their sample. Even if you develop a reliable sampling population, you have to make sure you get the demographics of the sample to line up with historical trends. If you don’t, your sample and your poll isn’t worth spit. For example, CNN routinely samples far more likely Democrat voters than historical trends can justify… Thus getting to Biden with a wide margin.

    Which brings us to Four: Suppression polling. It’s not a new political technique. You release manipulated polling showing your opponent losing in order to dampen enthusiasm among the opponent’s supporters. Less enthusiasm equals less votes.

    You have two things going on here with Biden and his polling numbers: Voter suppression directed against Trump, and the Brady Effect. At present you see no panic out of Trump or the Republicans. What you do see is a full court press by Democrats to convince African-Americans and Latinos that Trump is a racist. If the Democrats had AAs and Latinos in their pockets, they wouldn’t be wasting their time and energy pushing Republican racism, now would they?

    Don’t listen to what campaigns and candidates say… Watch what they do.

  15. Dennis – Which brings us to Four: Suppression polling. It’s not a new political technique. You release manipulated polling showing your opponent losing in order to dampen enthusiasm among the opponent’s supporters. Less enthusiasm equals less votes.

    Yeahbutnobutyeah.

    You’re thinking about stuff that was old hat when Ed Bernays was a laddie.

    What if I told you (puts sunglasses on) that the entire Western media-industrial complex (picks nostril, thoughtfully) is a psyop?

    Everything from the “news” to the ubiquitous black-on-blonde ad campaigns to Google Doodles to Luke Skywalker being turned into a pussy to the Bristol Shaneequa statue, all designed to demoralise you.

    There’s a good cartoon about this (in ioci, veritas).

    Hamberder executive is being pitched an ad campaign showing a closeup of a black guy enjoying a tongue sandwich with a white guy.

    “But how will this help us sell hamburgers?” asks the exec.

    “Hamburgers?”, spocks the ad man.

  16. Dennis the Merciless, or Merciful, Depending

    You’re thinking about stuff that was old hat when Ed Bernays was a laddie.

    The fact that it is old hat is irrelevant. It is a technique that is still widely used in US politics. Whether it works as well as some political operative think is another question.

  17. ‘If the Democrats had AAs and Latinos in their pockets, they wouldn’t be wasting their time and energy pushing Republican racism, now would they?’

    You may be right. Or they could be bored. It’s something to do.

    I’m just enjoying the ironing. Spose the Dems put up the Hildebeast for veep. They win. Then Biden and Hillary die before Valentines Day. So Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy (R)* takes over as Pres.

    So many possibilities. But I’d bet serious money that without Hildebeast on the card, Dems can’t win.

    *Interesting. I put R in parentheses to denote Republican and auto correct makes a registered trademark symbol out of it. Hmmm, works for tm in paretheses ™. Am I the last to know this?

  18. Hmmmm. Only displays as registered trademark in the preview display. Comment has (R) as entered.

    Gamecock Says:

    Hmmmm. Only displays as registered trademark in the preview display. Comment has ® as entered.

  19. – wasn’t Churchill respectfully regarded as useless after WW2? Not that he was terribly popular before it.

    Aye. I wasn’t holding up Churchill as an example of the benefit of multi-terms, just countering your US focus.

  20. Five – by bigging up their candidate in the polls now, a fraudulent victory in November can be convincing.

    Barring any surprises Trump should walk an honest election. The Dems know this and they know what to do.

  21. Bloke in North Dorset

    “ Generally I take your point. There have been better examples though, Churchill’s grandson with his 36 years as an MP springs immediately to mind.”

    Soames is the perfect example of someone who has traded on the family name to get to levels way above his competence.

    If social mobility is to mean anything it has to include downward mobility and he should have gone down the longest snake right to the bottom.

  22. I suspect vote rigging, postal fraud etc is the biggest danger to Trump..

    Any Americans here have a thought about that?

  23. I agree, Ecks. The Dems have no chance in a fair fight.

    But they aren’t interested in a fair fight. They showed their true colors after the 2016 vote: DEMOCRATS HATE DEMOCRACY!

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