The reality, then, is that economies can never be in equilibrium. They are always in motion, always in flux, always engaged in the same struggle with entropy that life itself faces. They are sustained by imbalance and by the constant management of disorder. And when they stop moving — when the flows dry up, or when the openness is shut down — they collapse.
Quantum physics sharpens this point. At the smallest scale, what looks stable is never still. A so-called stable atom is a dance of shifting probabilities. A supposedly solid state is a pulsing of energy fields. Stability in this world does not mean stillness. It means dynamic balance, sustained only through continuous change. That is why quantum theory is such a useful metaphor for economics. From a distance, the economy may look stable, but up close it is always a swirl of transactions, exchanges, conflicts, and innovations.
The neoclassical dream of equilibrium, then, is not the dream of a healthy economy. It is the dream of a dead one. Equilibrium means the absence of flows, the cessation of work, the collapse of openness. It is not a goal to be pursued but a condition to be feared.
Yet our economic policy is too often built on the false assumption that equilibrium should be the objective. Think of the constant political demand for “balanced budgets” or “fiscal rules” that tie government hands. These are attempts to impose closure on an open system. They imagine that the economy should be like a household, keeping its books tidy, rather than like a living organism that must remain open in order to survive. By suppressing flows of energy, cutting back spending, and reducing investment, such policies do not create health: they accelerate the move toward the stillness of death.
My wife’s question was right, then. Equilibrium is not a state that can ever be achieved in life. The struggle with entropy is perpetual. Our task is not to eliminate disorder but to keep it manageable — to import enough new energy, to remain open enough, to reduce disorder enough that life and growth can continue.
For economies, this means valuing disequilibrium rather than fearing it. Disequilibrium is the condition of creativity, of adaptation, of survival. It is the sign that the system is alive. Our real challenge is to manage it well: to channel energy into useful work, to sustain openness, and to prevent entropy from overwhelming us.
Cool. So, therefore…….therefore we need to leave the system repsonsive to changes and allow that same system to continue that struggle against entropy. Which means hanging all the bureaucrats and planners. Obviously.
Spud simply doesn’t get it that quantum means Hayek.
I don’t think he actually wrote any of this nonsense. I fed one of the paragraphs to an AI detector and it said 71% probability it was written by GPT.
I think Wolfgang Pauli put it best: “This isn’t right. It’s not even wrong.”
He also famously said “I want a keg of beer”
Entropy! Disorder! An open system! Of course he doesn’t know what he’s talking about.
But I did enjoy the plagiarised bits: “a dance of shifting probabilities, a pulsing of energy fields.
He’s rather like the old stereotype of the Irishman; fluent but not articulate.
“Disequilibrium is the condition of creativity, of adaptation, of survival”: aye, and Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire.
You, what do you own the world?
How do you own disorder? Disorder.
Yes. Take one of those terms: “open system”. It means that you’re not accounting for something. Heat escapes to the wider universe.
But there’s a finite, known number of pounds sterling in the world. Every single one has a serial number on it!
A currency is the exact opposite of an open system.
What people are doing with each and every one of them is the unknowable question. Some of them are in a suitcase at the bottom of the ocean.
There are considerably more pounds in the world than pound notes, so it’s quite far from each being numbered.
No matter how much he tortures this metaphor it refuses to make sense.
It just seems like he’s looking for a new angle. Something to write books about, do videos about.
He’s moved from beating the dead horse’s buttocks to beating its belly.
“Eventually it will move…”
No, that’s just gas.
“always in motion, always in flux”
Well I can agree that the economy is pretty fluxed right now.
Was there uncertainty before Heisenberg? Are you sure?
My feeling with economics, is that it’s a lot like Newtonian physics. Fundamentally, the old stuff is fine. There’s Einstein, Higgs, the blokes who detected the background radiation of the big bang, but broadly speaking, Newton is sound. You get space travel, GPS and atom bombs with Einstein, and not a whole lot else. Verifying the Higgs Bosun might lead to something in future but right now, it’s purely academic.
Economics, fundamentally, markets in everything except where markets don’t work. So the only sensible debate is around where the line of “where markets don’t work” is. Like I used to defend the idea of some public service broadcasting but with cheap cameras and YouTube, I don’t see why the government needs to be involved at all. Anyone can make a bit of telly today.
Government licensing of broadcast frequencies was only reasonable because having two stations within range on the same frequency using the primitive methods of modulation available meant neither of the stations could be used.
There could have been a private board to allocate them instead, but that was seen as undesirable.
We’ve been developing methods to allow for multiple stations to use the same frequency ever since. The cell networks are an example.
Over wired networks government licenses make no sense at all.
Perversely, this quantum bollocks is the most entertaining he’s been that I can remember. OK, that’s a low bar but even so…
Addendum – “Quantum Bollocks” exist in a state wherein the colder it is, the less likely they’re visible.
When is Ritchie going to move to the “found tragically unalived of autoerotic asphyxiation with a satsuma up his arse” part of his AI psychosis?
The LWOT manic phase is boring.
On the contrary… Life exists because equilibrium can, very much, be reached in a dynamic environment from underlying dynamic, even “chaotic” processes.
That is, in fact, what this thing we call “life” is…
Can I just buy a goddamn loaf of bread?
Only if you have your ration coupon and certificate of good citizenship.
Nyet tovarisch – bread tomorrow; no bread today! And so it goes with Ritchie…
The man learned some new words and unfamiliar concepts, but doesn’t understand how to use them yet.
“Equilibrium means the absence of flows, the cessation of work, the collapse of openness.”
I think Lord Hermer is working on this. It sounds like a definition of the “rules based international order”. A world where it makes sense to do a sale and lease back of the Chagos Islands while forgetting the sale value