Going short
Hahahahaha, no. He’s not going to use the SageBrain to short that collapse he’s absolutely certain is about to happen.
He’s going to make short videos.
Going short
Hahahahaha, no. He’s not going to use the SageBrain to short that collapse he’s absolutely certain is about to happen.
He’s going to make short videos.
In fairness my kids are huge fans of short videos (albeit unless he also plans to create memes I think they’d skip through his verbiage) – not sure how the monetization arrangements work on that platform. Things must be a little straitened as hell unable to pay for hootsuite. A lot hinges on the Cambridge event in February. Rest assured ideological compadre of the sage, Gunter Schabowski, will be making a reincarnated appearance.
There is a handy song that can be repurposed: “Wir Fahren Gegen Cambridge”.
In fairness my kids are huge fans of short videos
Your kids have been brought up on children’s TV which presumes an attention span of around 4 minutes.
Short videos are curious things. Try asking your kids what was in those short videos that they enjoyed a couple of hours earlier. The chances are they will recall zero content from them.
I see them as the digital equivalent of the stereotypical Chinese meal. Great when you are consuming them but a couple of hours later they are completely forgotten so you need more.
Andy – I’d say they recall less than 0.1% – the takeaway food comparison is spot on
If you are wrong when you short cover to profit from a predicted collapse it can cost you a very very large amount of money. A great example of this is the 2008 VW squeeze.
If you are wrong when you make a short video to profit from a predicted collapse you can repeat it every month till you eventually luck out. In this example you can profit from all the videos where you were wrong as well as the one where you were by chance right, plus a few more where you crow about predicting it right.
It’s the essential danger of shorting. If you go long your losses are limited to the capital committed. If you short your potential losses are infinite. The is no bound on the upside.
A standalone team where I was working in 2008 demonstrated that the hard way.
The team that was supposed to be doing complex arbitrage ended up with a short on VW Porshe. Three weeks later the room where they had worked was empty and they were all gone. Risk management had been deeply concerned about them for months but couldn’t get traction because they had been lucky up to that point.
Told you he’d struggle to keep the video output up. There’s only so many ways you can repackage a pile of shite.
Fascinating.
Anyone who’s watching videos to gain information that’s not strictly visual has to be a thick cvnt. The information density of video is trivial. It’s just an enormous waste of time. So if he’s going to short form video where the information will be equivalent to a handful of written sentences he’s pitching at extra thick cvnts with short attention spans. Economics for mongs?
The information density of video is trivial.
+100. And the information density of podcasts is not much higher…
They do have the advantage that you can listen to them whilst you’re doing something productive doesn’t require much attention. So you can dual task. Like when you’re driving. You’ve learnt something but you’re also 100km along the road.
So the information density of podcasts is relatively low, compared to text…
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That rather depends on the podcast.
The best of them are conversations between interesting people (or sometimes one or two interesting people and a host).
If you listen to (for instance) Elon Musk talking to Joe Rogan, and try hard to ignore the bits where Rogan speaks, what you get out of it is the unfiltered thoughts of Elon Musk.
I am interested – not to the point that I would pay anything or travel any great distance to hear them, but interested – in the unfiltered thoughts of the world’s richest man, and the man behind SpaceX, X, The Boring Company etc.
There must be a reason, after all, that the mainstream media do not wish to allow us to hear the unfiltered thoughts of Musk (and many other people), and I, for one, am not prepared to have those cunts dictate to me what I may or may not hear, nor to be lied to by omission, nor to be propagandised.
It’s a moot point whether Musk is genuinely committed to freedom of speech, but he’s a lot closer to it than the bosses of CBS, or Keir Starmer, or the EU.
Pretty much every lie about the Covid pandemic was exposed initially on podcasts (and later Substack, and post-Musk, on X), often by eminently-qualified experts talking in great detail about their subjects who were prevented from airing their concerns on mainstream outlets, often with the connivance of the US and other governments.
Sure it’s entertainment. If you need entertaining. But how is what Elon Musk says information useful in any sense? How is it going to change YOUR life?
People who spend their time watching UTube videos are your basic dross. They have little effect on the world because they don’t do anything affects the world. If they were doing anything affects the world they would have neither the time nor the inclination to watch UTube vidoes. So who’s his audience? The unemployed & the unemployable, some brain dead students, no doubt some public sector desk jockies who’d be more useful neck shot & assorted tossers. Doubt if it’ll even affect the way they’ll vote. That was decided by being the sort of people would watch his videos.
Of course it’s extremely enjoyable watching him expending his time, effort & money making them but anything else of value?
TV just can’t handle the long form interview. They give us sound bites, prepared snippets from politicians briefed to give out today’s ‘line to take’. In the US that usually means the democrat talking points, with those required idioms that are repeated by the whole MSM and their lackeys. But the long form, like Rogan does, puts the interviewee on the spot. He can’t rely on preparation, he has to either be silent or reveal something of himself. Can you imagine getting Stamer on? He’d run out of lies. Of course you’d have to ask some better questions than we are accustomed to seeing, and the interviewer has tp play his part by waiting. Allowing ‘dead air’ in order to pressure the victim into telling us something. I’d go further and get articulate ordinary person to be the iinterviewer. Why? Because established TV talking heads have an interest in not upsetting the politicians. They have a future relationship to worry about.
That rather depends on the podcast.
Obviously. Duh!
The best of them are conversations…
I’m interested in arguments and evidence, not “conversations”
A bit simplistic on podcasts, and YouTube for that matter.
There’s some really good history podcasts out there, for example:
I’ve just been listening to a History Rage podcasts debunking the myth that Thomas Moore died for the Pope. I don’t listen to episodes but there’s some other good ones. The one on the Dieppe Raid is excellent. (Spoiler: It was a cover for getting the latest Enigma machine and told by the historian who’s just written the book)
And of course there’s Mike Duncan’s History of Rome and his even better, IMHO, series Revolutions. His history of the Russian Revolution is over 100 hours and the French Revolution is even longer and both classics.
The History of the 20th Century has been going 10 years and has only just reached the Normandy landings. He covers all the main events as well as some very interesting asides that have big cultural impacts – the history of the Juke Box is a classic.
I could go on and add the same for science.
As for YouTube it’s great if you want to know how to do stuff, I’m currently building a “smart home” or at least adding some useful stuff to help as we get old. I’ve also just been looking up how to change the radio head on my motorhome.
I won’t go in to all the useful stuff I’ve found for learning German and French.
Come off it BiND. Your using UTube for entertainment. If you seriously wanted to learn the history of the C20th you could read the entirety in a weekend in greater detail.
As for using it to do stuff. You’d have to be pretty hopeless in the first place. I watched a UTube to find out how to change the door seal on a washing machine. Because I couldn’t find anything else told me what I needed. About 20 seconds of it told me which of the screws to remove to take off the front panel. The other 19 m 40s were a waste of time. If I didn’t know how undo screws & fix springs I wouldn’t be capable of doing the job. Like most UTube vids. Some tosser mouthing off in barely comprehensible English. If of course you can trust what you’re being told. One I watched on car repair, if I’d followed the vid I’d be looking at a 1500€ engine rebuild.
Languages possibly. It’s almost impossible to earn languages from books. But why do you need to look at a person speaking?
I s’pose this is what happens to people have spent their lives staring at the box. Low data rate uptake.
Bis,
Those are history podcasts not YouTube. if you want a good history YouTube channel Real Time History is very well researched and they present source material. Their series on the Franco Prussian War is very good.
All history podcasts and YouTube are primers, some better than others and if you really want to go deep then you can’t beat a book or several.
As for How To vids, again some are better than others, that’s life.
When teaching myself Da Vinci Resolve for video production I’d usually go to YouTube for specific procedures rather than wade through the doorstop manual, but my god I had to put up with some nasal idiots who can’t put on a cap properly. Then Perplexity came along, which summarises all of this stuff into a set of text instructions, and I haven’t looked back.
The 20 minute video was so that there can be two or three points where YouTube can insert ads.
That is after all why most of those people are making the videos in the first place.
A one minute video would have no place for that.
Quite. I can’t be arsed with either. There’s a reason why skim-reading works.
The information density of video is trivial.
+100 on that. There are so many times I’ve slogged through a video just to get the one piece of information something like: “Set HKCU/Software/Explorer/Startup to 0”,
What next? Merch? A taxing wealth report hoodie and a baseball cap saying “candidly”
Possibly vitamin pills or lamps that shine the healing sun of Ely on people.
Joy of Tax t-shirts would sell well. Not Che Guevara level (especially if Murphy puts his face on them) but still with the ability to sell to the ignorant and informed at the same time.
Ha! SageBrain is actually a good tm should a certain firm providing Accounting software to small biz launch an AI product. .
He’s always ridden the short bus.