….the odds, but they are stacked in favour of the Greens in every case except one, where they have the same odds as Reform.
In every case, Labour lags well behind, and the Tories and LibDems are far behind the Workers Party of Britain.
What’s the message? The bookies have noticed that people have learned to vote tactically, and can see who has the chance if keeping Reform out here, whilst giving Labour the kicking it deserves.
Apparently Smurf thinks bookies set odds rather than react to the weight of money and so have a balanced book.
So, market prices are wrong in financial markets because, well, they are so there, but prices in markets are correct when they show something Spud likes.
While I acknowledge he doesn’t understand how any form of Market works I do think he is correct that given Farage’s recent travails and the fact there will be co-ordinated tactical voting solely on the basis of ‘stopping’ Reform there is a very good chance of the Greens winning (And the odds reflect this)
They have a significant level of pro ISIS support they can mobilize, many of whom are on benefits and have infinite time to hoover up votes. My guess is pallets of postal ballots are already being delivered to Rusholme to be shipped in prior to election day – all filled out for the Green candidate on the instructions of ‘Community elders’. I won’t make a reference to the Ukrainian misadventure but it once again illustrates that we have our priorities askew.
Someone might draw the attention of ‘community elders’ to the Green’s position on homosexuality.
They’re biding their time. Once the Greens have served their purpose there will be plenty of tall buildings put to use.
Is that the right tactic to use? Helping the Greens win a by-election doesn’t really get anyone anywhere.
If you could hand someone victory in this by-election, wouldn’t you do a deal with Labour to rescue them? They’re desperate to avoid embarrassment. More importantly, they’re in office, so have the ability to reward you.
So, Labour in charge is NOT the worst thing that can happen to Britain.
Reform can counter attack with, “Vote Reform; keep the Greens out.”
Bang on. And Credit Default Swap prices suffer the same troubles as weight of money can define the price rather than any underlying credit risk. Doesn’t stop regulators looking at CDS prices (as they’re a market price init!) and saying you can estimate default costs from them. Nope.