Sigh
Spain will struggle to match Nato defence spending targets because of political divisions and the weak position of the country’s Left-wing government.
But there is another factor that is making it difficult for the country to spend 2 per cent of its GDP on its military: its booming economy.
Pedro Sánchez, Spain’s prime minister, is meeting the heads of other parties on Thursday to seek support for his objective of accelerating the 2 per cent target in response to the call from Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission president, for an €800 billion spending rise across the EU to face the threat of Vladimir Putin’s Russia.
Spain’s buoyant economy, with GDP growing by 3.2 per cent in 2024, only makes the target harder to reach. Countries such as Germany and France are barely registering economic growth, meaning such GDP-based spending objectives are static and not such a moving target.
No, it works the other way around. Tac revenues are leveraged towards growth.
Say – just an example – you get 40% of GDP in taxes. If you get 3% of growth then you – probably, a guess – get 60% of that 3% of growth in taxes.
Because everyone’s already using all their tax free allowances, any increase in income gets taxed at full whack – and perhaps more as people are pushed up income bands. Etc, etc, across the economy as the money circulates.
The marginal tax rate in the economy is always higher than the average rate…..