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October 2025

FFS

The fundamental fact that Wolf ignores is that we live on a finite planet. The gains of the past, about which he enthuses, were built on cheap energy, abundant abuse of materials without taking into consideration the consequences of doing so, and a willingness to ignore the external costs imposed on society as a result of that indifference. That era is over. We face climate breakdown now. We are already on a dire path to 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming because we pretended that infinite growth was possible, and Wolf still wants more of the same. This is economic, social and climate madness. He might wish for increased productivity from consuming (and abusing) ever more of the world ‘s natural resources, whilst showing complete contempt for the rights of working people, but the stalling productivity numbers he quotes in his article do not show a failure of effort or the consequence of laws protecting labour rights; they show the natural consequence of economies hitting planetary and social limits.

Sigh.

First, growth is not coming back in the form he imagines, whether he thinks it necessary or not. Wolf might lament the collapse of postwar productivity miracles and clearly longs for their return, believing a combination of AI, other disruptive technologies, and greatly relaxed labour laws — allowing companies to dispense with their employees at will to the detriment of employees everywhere — might deliver them again.

Double Sigh.

Rising productivity allows you to do more with the same resources. That’s the very definition of rising productivity – more value of output from the same inputs. So, if 20th century growth wsa largely driven by rising productivity – it was – then 20th century growth is exactly the sort of growth that *we insist upon* for this new world of limited resources. Because the whole point of increasing prouctivity is greater value of output *from the same resources*.

This is good

The 2008 global financial crisis happened in no small part because US banks sold portfolios of debt that they had issued to US consumers to investment bank clients who did not understand the risk in those portfolios, and subsequently discovered that the supposed AAA debt they had acquired was nothing of the sort, and banking balance sheets collapsed as a result all over the world.

The AAA tranches were good. Near none of them failed. That the banks were putting the C – the equity – tranches in their own books financed with massive leverage is what caused the problem. Because slicing and dicing loan pools actually worked – the equity tranches went bust first and protected the synthetic AAA tranches from default even as the underlying mortgages went kablooie.

Spud’s got 2008 wholly and entirely the wrong way around.

Now there’s a surprise, eh?

Just to put this question down

So, those American patriotic millionaires who run around saying tax me more.

In the US you can invest in municipal bonds. The interest is income tax free. Of Federal, and for instate issues for instate taxpayers of instate income tax.

So, how many patriotic millionaires, who insist upon being taxed more, invest in munis?

How England has changed

The top 100 British pubs? There are ten in the list that I’d really recommend
The Good Food Guide has unveiled its inaugural list of the nation’s best watering holes.

It’s the good food guide. To pubs.

This is what the list is all about, says the guide’s owner and publisher, Adam Hyman. “It’s a guide for how normal people use a pub to eat and drink.

That pubs are now restaurants is xactly what’s gone wrong with hte country.

Bah. Humbug. Boozers, that’s what the place needs, boozers.

Well, yes, he should be outed

Despite his administration’s vow to launch “no more open-ended conflicts”, Trump has summoned an aircraft carrier to the Caribbean Sea and is already sending military helicopters provocatively near the Venezuelan coast. The Trump administration denies that its goal is regime change, but that certainly seems to be the purpose, as some officials privately concede. Ousting Venezuela’s autocratic leader, Nicolás Maduro, has long been a goal of Marco Rubio, the US secretary of state.

Getting rid of the bastard that has impoverished a nation seems like a good idea. No?

Jeebus, fucking cretins

Spud talking approvingly of Steve Keens mortgage revision ideas:

Policy 2: A new Affordable Housing Authority (AHA). This institution would provide zero-interest mortgages to median and below-median income earners. At current prices, a typical buyer borrowing at commercial rates (say 7 per cent) would spend over half their income on repayments and thus be refused a loan. But with a 0 per cent loan, the exact same household would spend roughly 26 per cent of its income, below the housing-stress threshold. The AHA would be funded by government money creation. Repayment would cover the principal only. This would cut banks out of a market they currently refuse to serve anyway.

The way to reduce prices is to stimulate demand.

This is just so cuntishly stupid it’s unreal.

To give you the joy in full

As the Guardian reports this morning:

When all that’s left is the rentier economy — and in households that rent, that is the only interest they are really working for — something has to give.

This is completely unsustainable.

Radical thinking is required. Steve  Keen is doing some. So am I.

We might need to talk about it.

I’ll betcha that neither of them will come to the same conclusion I did in the face of the same evidence:

Say it ain’t so!

Average private rents in Great Britain have climbed to record highs, with the amount tenants are being asked to pay in some hotspots rising more than 25% in a year, data shows.

Our word.

Rightmove also said conditions for landlords were challenging. It indicated that last autumn’s rise in stamp duty , as well as speculation about more tax changes in next month’s budget and the impact of the government’s renters’ rights bill, may be prompting some buy-to-let landlords to bail out and may be putting off others from investing in the sector.

The returns to being a landlord are being deliberately managed down. There are, therefore, fewer landlords – not as a happenstance, it is deliberate public policy that there be fewer landlords. Fewer landlords means a lower supply of rentals, therefore rentals cost more.

That’s the sort of chain of logic people could build a theory upon you know. We look forward to someone having a crack at it too. You know, just as an intellectual exercise that might be able to inform public policy?

For that insistence that supply and demand just don’t work with housing, rentals or landlords just doesn’t seem to be panning out, does it?

But what’s the value of Econ 101 in the face of political economy, eh, eh?

Spud McDuck

Rachel Reeves says the UK needs tax rises to balance her budget. That’s simply wrong. Tax doesn’t fund government spending: spending comes first. Raising taxes now would drain money from an economy already struggling with low demand and weak wages. The only people who should pay more are the idle wealthy, who are those hoarding unproductive wealth in property and shares.

Spud on Piketty

His central equation, that r > g, captured that truth in a simple inequality. His argument is that when the rate of return on capital (r) exceeds the rate of economic growth (g), wealth accumulates faster than incomes rise. Those who already own assets grow richer, while those who rely on wages fall behind. Over time, inequality does, then, become self-perpetuating.

He argues that r is greater than g. Which it ain’t. Therefore it’s all nonsense.

Institute the short bus

Almost half a million children are ­eligible for taxpayer-funded transport to get to school, and tens of thousands with ­special educational needs and disabilities (Send) are entitled to travel alone in taxis every day, figures reveal.

The Department for Education data, shared exclusively with The Times, shows that about 470,000 pupils in ­England — 6 per cent of all school­children under 16 — are eligible for home-to-school transport (HTST).

Like the Americans.

Might even be able to get the Variety Club to fund ’em.

Yes, you do

Another defendant, Jérome C, a debt adviser, told the court he liked posting on social media from his sofa in the evening. “It was just humour,” he said. “Do you need a permit in France to crack a joke?”

It’s long been an offence to insult a public official over there. Now making jokes about Brigitte’s ladypenis is also – at least this case is claiming – illegal.

The voters hate you

Here’s ministers’ paradox: Labour’s only hope lies in despair. Assume they will be wiped out whatever, so use this massive majority for four more years to follow their natural social democratic instinct: make radical tax reforms, raising plenty. Expect to lose the next election, so do everything now. Forget opinion polls and focus groups; let voters see sincerity in their purpose. The only way to restore some respect is to do transparently what they think most right and fair.

So, do everything the voters hate.

Polly did stand for the SDP I think. But actual politics does still seem to escape her.

How unlikely this story is

Under the Ayushman Bharat medical insurance scheme, launched in 2018, poor patients are entitled to cover worth 500,000 rupees a year for each family. Most importantly, the treatment is available not only at the crowded and frenetic government facilities but also at private hospitals across India that offer a better standard of care. So far, 822m Ayushman Bharat health account (ABHA) numbers have been issued.

OK.

But this is where the scheme is foundering. Nationwide, the unpaid claims for medical care stand at more than 1tn rupees (£8.5bn). In the state of Kerala alone, there are 4bn rupees in pending claims.

Government doesn’t like paying up, eh?

And more!

Often the delays are down to complicated paperwork. Claims can be rejected or delayed over trivial issues such as misprints or minor discrepancies.

And the babus inist upon a pile of paperwork and bureaucracy, do they?

Who could have predicted this, in India of all places?

Could be, could be

Warming oceans probably fueling Hurricane Melissa’s rapid intensification
Climate scientists have long warned that warming oceans are making explosive storm development more common

But just one of those things. I’d have a great deal more faith in them all – and the Guardian etc – if they’d been running articles on “Where did the hurricanes go this year?”

We are – substantially – below average in hte number of ’em in 2025. But we get a piece about how climate change is making this one faster to develop – and yet not anything about how few there are.

You know, almost as if they’re being biased? As if you could believe such a thing.

Old Man Grumble

Of course, the moment I say that I’m reasonably fit is the moment that heart attack is going to leap out at me. Or my liver explode, whatever.

But I am, sorta, a bit, reasonably fit. There’s a 28 km bike ride just by me (from the km posts) and it’s pretty flat and I do that in 65, 70 mins without really pushing. Happily do 50km if I know I’m going to be doing that much – ie, not pressing up hills along the way etc. Which, by the standards of cyclists, is pretty much nothing but for a mid-60s smoker and drinker isn’t horrendous. I can swim a mile and do, regularly (two/three times a week regularly) and the last time I did 150 metres was butterfly because all crawl is too boring.

But I just found out that I cannot run. Tried a couple of days back. Just 1 km up to the next km post on the road, then back to the bike. And I couldn’t get up above a shuffle.

It was me legs. My walking pace seems to be longer than I can manage as a running pace which is v silly indeed.

Is this a thing? Don’t run for decades and muscles, tendons, just don’t stretch to be able to do it? As I say, I can propel myself with my legs – bike, walking, swimming – but just not running.

If anyone knows the answer to that then the next one. Is this just a matter of slowly working up to being able to do it again? Not that I want to enter a marathon or anything but being able to run 5 km now and again would be fun*.

*Yes, I know, different definitions of fun, utility, but there we are.

Oh, yes, what a marvellous idea – The Basic British Bank

And what we need, I suggest, is a Basic British Bank, the BBB, to keep private banks honest as well.  And that BBB would, of course, be owned by the UK state.

What would it do? It would offer basic, current and savings accounts to everyone, in the way that those old enough to remember it will recall that the Girobank once did, and it operated through the post office.

There would be no extortionate overdraft rates.

There would be fair interest on savings, entirely in line with bank base rate, or maybe a per cent or so less, but nothing like the penal and very low rates offered to small savers now.

And this Basic British Bank would have local branches, either of its own or in partnership with post offices and councils, and hubs of that sort are now becoming more common and are really important.

That’s not really the point being made here. This is:

We could open the doors to what should be a public payment infrastructure, which is a measure of resilience. I talked about this in 2008, when I thought that the biggest threat arising from the financial crisis, at least in its very early stages, was that there was a chance that the payment mechanism which ensured that British households could pay their supermarkets for food might fail. And that risk still exists at this moment, and it could present us with a crisis again, because if people can’t buy their food because there’s no payment mechanism to let them do so, then they will riot.

The fact is that payment infrastructure is not in public hands. We’ve learned nothing from 2008, yet. 17 years later, we still do not have a state-owned payment system within this country. And this British Basic Bank, Basic British Bank, whichever way around you wish to put it, the BBB could build that mechanism on which all other banks could be built, so that we would have a payment infrastructure in this country  which would work whatever happened to our banks, because the state would own it.

Of course, we do have a public payments system. CHPS. Which is owned and run by the Bank of England. And of course a publicly run payments system handling the next level down, the £5 for a pint level, would never, ever, be used as a form of social credit. Ho no.

But, you know. Spud’s mentioned this before, that the State should create the banking system, everyone else just gets to be a brand that runs on top of that. Because this would be better, much better.

As shown the last time the stat tried to build a real time retail payments system of course. ICL built Horizon for the Post Office…..

Rightie ho then

The latest evidence comes from the appeals for more funds for the NHS to manage likely demand this winter. This is seen as a sign of management failure by those in the Treasury. Actually, it is the result of the failure of neoliberalism as it feeds us ever more toxic food in pursuit of profit in a world already poisoned by doctrines of indifference to the condition of most people, who live lives of despair as a result.

The problems of a monopoly, state run, health care system are that we all have cheap and nuritious food now.

So, not this book then

These missions are sadly undermined by the authors’ inability to express Big Thoughts, or indeed to have any thoughts longer than half a paragraph. The text veers between a rather glib, non-chronological narrative covering two decades of politics, strings of non-sequiturs, mentions of “popular politics books I’ve read” or “YouTube videos that might be relevant”, Noël Coward quotes and, peppered between, some observations on the value of eccentric traditions.

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