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Two interesting news stories

Firstly, sentence of beheading and crucifixion in Saudi Arabia:

A young man facing beheading and crucifixion was tortured and sentenced for political reasons, according to rights groups and a source close to his family calling for a halt to his execution.

Ali Mohammed al-Nimr was arrested in 2012 when he was 17 years old for participating in a protest. He was later sentenced to death for joining a criminal group and attacking police forces in proceedings which a United Nations body said “fell short of international standards.”

The conviction was upheld this week by Saudi Arabia’s highest court, and the execution could take place at any time.
….
The crucifixion sentence means that al-Nimr will most likely be beheaded first and his body later displayed on a cross in a public location, according to campaigners.

The fear that al-Nimr could be executed at any time has taken a steep toll on his father and other relatives, a source close to the family told NBC News.

They are “acting like they are okay, but I know the family and they are not,” the source said, adding that Ali was defiantly “dreaming about the future” and was still hoping to study psychology one day.

A group of United Nations experts on torture and capital punishment urged Saudi Arabia to halt the execution, saying that al-Nimr was a child at the time of his offense and that the proceedings against him were flawed.

“Any judgment imposing the death penalty upon persons who were children at the time of the offence and their execution, are incompatible with Saudi Arabia’s international obligations,” they said in a statement, citing Saudi Arabia’s ratification of the Convention on the Rights of the Child.

Bit medieval really. And the second story about Saudi Arabia:

U.S. ‘Welcomes’ Saudi Arabia as Head of UN Human Rights Council

Hmmm

An economist on PQE

Let me emphasise that the concern about PQE is that it would be used excessively, and in doing so would contribute to inflation. The whole issue is whether we can trust that PQE will not be abused. Murphy attempts to downplay this fear by claiming that he wants “modest” PQE, and that it’s a good idea because inflation is under target. But if Murphy’s reasons for advocating PQE circa 2015 are sincere, this implies that he did not think there was a case for PQE in 2011. My recollection is that he has been advocating PQE throughout this time period, even when inflation was above target.

To explain: the answer is always more Murphmonster, it’s the reasons why that change.

So Ritchie doesn’t understand the balance of payments either

I know he has to improve the UK’s balance of trade and net overseas foreign direct investment if he is to clear the deficit but does he have to do that by quiet so blatantly begging China to invest here?

Sigh. The balance of payments means that payments must balance. So, a trade deficit means a capital account surplus. A capital account deficit means a trade surplus. Thus you cannot be trying to improve the balance of trade (ie, make it less negative or more positive in the usual construction) by asking foreigners to invest here.

Sigh.

And Ms. Proudman’s Stellar Career Continues

Institutional sexism in the legal profession is under scrutiny again following remarks about gender equality in the judiciary by one of the country’s most senior judges. Jonathan Sumption’s views exemplify perfectly what is wrong with the way women in the legal profession are viewed by those in the highest echelons of power.

So, slag off some senior male lawyer for sexism, misogyny even, get columns in Guardian denouncing entire legal system.

Modern career moves, eh?

Ms. Hadid

Umm:

Dame Zaha Hadid is to become the first sole female recipient of the Royal Gold Medal for architecture, as colleagues claimed she has missed out on becoming a national treasure because she does not play “the comfy British game of platitudinous waffle”.

Is this the bird whose buildings don’t quite work, can’t be built because of cost, don’t convert as they’re supposed to?

Agreed, I know near nothing of the world of architecture but there seem to be two stories here as far as I’ve heard. Brave courageous, above all female, architect pushing the boundaries of the discipline. And the counter story, someone whose stuff looks great on paper but doesn’t really, given the bounds of current materials and budgets, really work.

Then again, given the British arts establishment, prizes would be given for that second, wouldn’t they?

Where was that library that cooked everyone while rotting the books? Cambridge? Prize winner, wasn’t it?

So you didn’t officiate then?

Last Friday night was culture night in Belfast, as it was elsewhere in Ireland. I officiated at the marriage of two men on the front steps of the Merchant hotel before an audience – make that congregation – of several hundred people. (Several hundred times two, for we went through the ceremony twice, at 7.30pm and 9.30pm). The wedding had been organised by the Irish Congress of Trade Unions, the Rainbow Project, and Amnesty International, in order to highlight the fact that Northern Ireland is now the only place in the UK and Ireland where same-sex marriage is not performed or even recognised, putting us on the same footing as Niue, Tokelau and the Cook Islands, territories that have opted out of New Zealand’s legislation.

So you didn’t officiate at an official thingie, did you?

Entirely fair to argue that it should be possible to so officiate in NI, but not to claim, in the same paragraph, that you both did and were not allowed to.

No George, no

Volkswagen’s rigging of its pollution tests is an assault on our lungs, our hearts and our brains. It is a classic example of externalisation: the dumping of costs that businesses should carry onto other people.

It is the users of the cars who should be carrying the costs, not the businesses. It is me washing my clothes which uses electricity, not NPower making it. It is me driving to the shops that produces emissions, not VW who made the car.

The air that should have been filtered by its engines is filtered by our lungs instead. We have become the scrubbing devices it failed to install.

You don’t scrub NOX. You don’t produce it in the first place by having a less efficient burn in the engine. Using, therefore, more fuel. That is the cost that is not being bourne and it’s the people driving the cars that would carry it, not VW.

What?

The only concrete plan the government has produced so far is to intensify the problem, through a new programme of airport expansion. This only means more nitrous oxides, more particulates, more greenhouse gas emissions.

Jet engine NOX and particularate emissions are very low. Meaning that replacing car journeys with plane journeys lowers them overall…..

Nope, it ain’t Zoe

The central planks are to close the tax gap (the money Murphy identifies is lost through tax avoidance and evasion by high-net-worth individuals and corporations),

No, The vast majority is the little £10 and £20 fiddles of the grey economy. There’s almost no tax evasion at the top of the economy, there’s an awful lot own at the bottom. And no one at all is going to like the sort of rules and monitoring that would be necessary to collect that evaded tax.

and claw back some of the £93bn currently spent on “corporate welfare”;

Not even the Murphmonster’s idea. That particular piece of idiocy comes from Farnsworth.

(“I did a quick Google search,” he says, “and discovered that I could get 500 courses in accountancy, and none in tax. Why is something that is so important so little researched and only taught as an adjunct to accountancy? Why aren’t we researching the sociology of tax, the philosophy?”)

That’s been done. The conclusion being that it’s a cost, a sad amount that has to be handed over to pay for the government we want.

Murphy is famous for having been the first person to calculate the tax gap, the difference between what the treasury is owed and what it actually gets.

Murph’s tax gap is not what the Treasury is owed. It’s what the Treasury would be owed if Murphy had set the tax laws. It includes, for example, avoidance, which is money the Treasury says is not owed but Murph says is.

Country-by-country reporting – the idea that transnational corporations should be asked for a better breakdown of accounts, so that you can tell when profit is drained out of one country and paid tax on in another – was something he dreamt up in 2003, thinking only three people were interested.

Nope, pre-dates that by a number of years. They even had a conference on it before Murphy “thought it up”.

And this opens up the space for him to suggest a wealth tax, in his imaginary budget. “It was inconceivable in the past. But as a result of the work that the Tax Justice Network has done opening up the world’s secrecy jurisdictions, now if people move their assets offshore, we can find them again.” He has other specific proposals – a tax to replace national insurance, which was designed around jobs that don’t exist any more, and “we would need to explore new taxes for the 21st century, which are largely untried. A progressive consumption tax, so people with very few transactions would have very low tax. We have to discourage conspicuous consumption, which is eating up our planet.”

I’ll comment on this elsewhere, tomorrow.

The first immediate accusation was that he was threatening the Bank of England’s independence: it is fine for a government to initiate QE without threatening that autonomy, but not to determine the purpose of that money. “I’m deeply frustrated, I’ve been engaging with some of this country’s best economists. Am I threatening the Bank of England’s independence at the moment? Yesterday I was told, ‘I don’t have to justify Bank of England independence to you, it’s an a priori assumption.’ So what you’re telling me is that you think you’re right. I don’t agree with your a priori assumption, I want you to give me an evidence base.”

That it’s a requirement of being in the EU is a reasonable evidence base. That making the BoE independent dropped the interest premium on sterling another….

The second charge from his critics, mainly in the media, was that printing money causes inflation. “I say to them, have you bothered to work out how the world really works? Have you actually looked at how quantitative easing really worked? Have you understood? Central bankers have currently pumped in $6.5tn, and the net result is 0% inflation. So how am I, with a very modest amount of new council housing, broadband in rural areas, going to manage to do what the rest of the world doesn’t know? Central bankers around the world want to know how to create inflation. I haven’t found this magic solution.”

Oh well done. Quote the global number then compare it to your own leetle one in just one economy. And QE has produced inflation: it’s stopped deflation. And printing M0 to spend into the real economy is rather different from fiddling around with financial asset swaps. As absolutely everyone who knows even the first thing about monetary economics has been saying.

But I don’t get the impression Murphy cares very much about the mainstream. He is a moral man who is perhaps not going through his most modest life phase – “I’m well aware that there is one treasury minister who is now referring to me as the Right Honourable Lord Murphy.”

You heard it here first folks…..

Anyone want to have a little word with Hillary’s broker?

Umm:

Biotechnology stocks took a sharp dive Monday after Hillary Clinton said she would propose a plan to counteract “price gouging” by drug makers.

Ms. Clinton, who is seeking the Democratic nomination for president, was responding to New York Times article published Sunday that told of a price increase for a drug used to treat a life-threatening parasitic infection. The cost of the drug was recently increase from $13.50 a tablet to $750, the story said.

Why? Because Hillary wreaked havoc on pharmaceutical stock prices 23 years ago, when Bill was running for President. Indeed, this is more than a matter of academic interest to me, because I played a role in the fallout from that. In 1993, I wrote a study, titled “Political Rhetoric and Stock Price Volatility,” that contributed to one of the early Clinton scandals. For you see, while blasting pharma companies, Hillary was also invested in a hedge fund that shorted health care stocks, and I documented using standard event study methodology that her speeches led to economically and statistically significant declines in pharmaceutical company stock prices.

Watch how Ritchie quotes here

This comes from a speech Mark Carney gave yesterday, talking about Central Bank Independence:

In no small part due to my predecessors, particularly Lord King, the stagflationary threats in the UK were tamed by a new regime for monetary stability that was both democratically accountable and highly effective. 

\Clear remits. Parliamentary accountability. Sound governance. Independent, transparent and effective policy-making. These were the great successes of the time and their value endures today. 

But these innovations didn’t deliver lasting macroeconomic stability. Far from it. Price stability was no guarantee of financial stability. An initially healthy focus became a dangerous distraction.Three thoughts.

First, the arrangement only worked during a credit boom that lasted from 1998 to 2008. That’s not exactly an indication of success.

Second, The acknowledgement of failure is welcome.

And then see what Carney actually says:

We gather this evening almost seven years to the day that the failure of Lehman Brothers shattered conventional wisdom and laid bare three lies about finance.

Unlike the statue’s three lies, those falsehoods have had lasting consequences.
***
LIE I: “THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT”

The first lie is the four most expensive words in the English language: “This Time Is Different.”2

This misconception is usually the product of an initial success, with early progress gradually building into blind faith in a new era of effortless prosperity.

It took a revolution in macroeconomic policy to help win the battles against the high and unstable inflation, rising unemployment and volatile growth of the 1970s and ‘80s.

In no small part due to my predecessors, particularly Lord King, the stagflationary threats in the UK were tamed by a new regime for monetary stability that was both democratically accountable and highly effective.

Clear remits. Parliamentary accountability. Sound governance. Independent, transparent and effective policy-making. These were the great successes of the time and their value endures today.

But these innovations didn’t deliver lasting macroeconomic stability. Far from it.

Price stability was no guarantee of financial stability. An initially healthy focus became a dangerous distraction. Against the serene backdrop of the so-called Great Moderation, a storm was brewing.

Carney’s not actually talking about central bank independence at all. Something which happened post 97 after all.

What a lying toad our 0.2 of a Professor can be, eh?

Ritchie:

Third, staggeringly, because nothing in the BoE remit has changed, there is no acknowledgement that the distraction of solely focussing on inflation remains unhealthy, and even dangerous.

Carney:

Over the past seven years great strides have been made.

Take “this time is different”.

To guard against future complacency, policy frameworks have been substantially overhauled. The Bank of England has been given formal responsibility to maintain financial stability and has considerable powers to promote it. In anticipation of problems, we have increased bank capital and tightened mortgage standards. We are using our monetary policy and macroprudential policy tools in concert, so that a low for long interest rate environment can promote both price and financial stability.

BoE’s remit has changed, actually back rather to what is was before the Brown Terror. To ensure the sturdiness of the markets…..

What a toad.

Any pharma drug experts out there?

How does this happen?

A former hedge fund manager has suffered severe backlash after purchasing the rights to a 62-year-old drug used for treating AIDS patients and raising the price overnight from $13.50 per tablet to $750.

Martin Shkreli, 32, founder and chief executive of Turing Pharmaceuticals, purchased the rights to Daraprim – which is used to treat life-threatening parasitic infections – in August for $55million.

At 62 it should be out of patent, no?

So, why isn’t it simply a generic?

I can think of a couple of things: firstly, that the new use is what is still in patent, not the old anti-malaria one. Secondly, that it’s not actually in patent but it’s bloody difficult to get approval to manufacture it from the FDA etc.

But would very much like to know what actually is the legal protection here. Because I can’t see it surviving without some legal protection that allows that rent gouging.

The Guardian and numbers again

Would you trust this newspaper to talk to you about tax rates, budgets, wages, inequality, or, in fact, anything at all to do with numbers?

According to the latest figures from Wrap,the average UK family wastes 7m tonnes of food – worth £700 – every year and at a total cost of £12.5 bn.

Food costs 0.01 of a penny a tonne these days, does it? Hasn’t the automation of agriculture done well?

Idiot statement of the day

If we’re serious about wanting a better-educated, better-trained workforce, let’s not look to selective education for the solution.

Sigh.

I know that Ritchie and Farnsworth show that you don’t actually need to know anything in today’s academia but could we start from at least one basic premise? That we’d like the bridges to be designed by people who can do maths? And then take selection as far as we need to from there?

Or, alternatively, just about all that’s wrong with the education system in one sentence above:

Selina Todd, a social historian, is fellow and vice principal of St Hilda’s College, Oxford.

How amusing

Entirely trivial of course, but amusing to me at least.

Now, things might be different elsewhere but around where I come from cuff links are seen as a bit posh. In fact, double cuffs with cuff links are seen as rather posh.

In a way that a sports jacket and an open necked shirt are not seen as posh.

Or, well, that gets a bit more complicated. Stripey collared shirt, unbuttoned, with double cuffs and links, under a sports jacket is exactly Sloaney weekend wear.

And guess who wears double cuffs with links?

That man of the people, Alexis Tsipras.

Yes, it’s entirely trivial. But in the English milieu that opening image of that video would have you thinking…..that’s a posho who’s “rolled his sleeves up” to get down to some hard work.

Perhaps the imagery works different in Greek.

Looks like they could be Thomas Pink links too…..

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